Articles by Darryl Woodford
Futures, that one time Barcelona missed the top 4, and other weird sims
Each set of projections has thrown up a couple of value bets, but when you simulate a season thousands of times, sometimes it's the oddball results that stand out.READ MORE
EXCLUSIVE: (A) Winner of the World Cup Revealed
New to Stats Insider this week is our 2018 World Cup Simulator. As far as we know, it's the only place online you can simulate the entirety of the 2018 World Cup to your little heart's content.READ MORE
The Fallacy of Russia's World Cup Pricing
Russia are $1.30 to get out of the group stage, but $2.50 to reach the quarter finals. Those odds just don't make sense when you look at their draw, and their path to the Quarter Finals. Let's explore why, and how to properly value futures bets.READ MORE
Stats Busters: How Heavily Are Totals Impacted By The Current Margin?
Totals are designed to be 50-50 propositions, so for the bettor – even with a bit of value – they’reREAD MORE
Stats Busters: Are Melbourne AFLW teams overrated?
The AFLW certainly isn't one of the biggest betting sports in Australia, but the attention to itREAD MORE
Stats Busters: Are away goals as/more important than wins in two-legged ties?
One quirk of soccer, and particularly European soccer, is the two-legged ties that are used in cupREAD MORE
How do our predictive models work?
Each of the Stats Insider models uses a fairly similar approach to simulating a sporting event. TheyREAD MORE