NRL Tipping Round 9: Jacinda gets it, switch on you lot!

With 6/8 tips and 2/3 green smiley bets in the bank last weekend, Stats Insider’s NRL Model continues it’s amazing season heading into Round 9. 

Simulating each match 10,000 times and constantly updating as new information comes in, the model has been solid as a rock after two months of 2021. 

That actually may be a little too complimentary to rocks, given the models results so far (48/64 tips @ 75% and 15/23 bets @ 65%).

These results we are keeping track of here at Club 20 aren’t even closing info, they aren’t even day of game!

I suspect that if you were looking at the match pages just prior to kick off results would be even more impressive.

I know by now that most of the Club 20 regulars have come around to the fact that they suck at tipping and punting compared to the model, but I’m still running into people who have not yet cottoned on.

So I thought that this week our guest tipster might be able to help some more people see reason, and I was spot on choosing New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern.

Her people promptly replied to our email with this response;

“Looking at results so far in 2021, it seems to us a waste of time even having a guest make tips when they are beaten handsomely each and every week by your stats model. Why not just go with the selections the model suggests?”

Jacinda gets it.

Switch on the rest of you lot! #trustthemodel

Rabbitohs v Storm

Model says: Storm

Green Smiley Watch: The model has spied a double edge tonight with a 7% edge in the line market, for the Rabbitohs to hold the +7.5 and also a 7% edge in the Totals market for the Over 36.5pts. 

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_SOU_MEL #}

Panthers v Sharks

Model says: Panthers

Green Smiley Watch: 

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_PEN_CRO #}

Eels v Roosters

Model says: Eels

Green Smiley Watch: 

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_PAR_SYD #}

Raiders v Knights

Model says: Raiders

Green Smiley Watch: 

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_CAN_NEW #}

Tigers v Titans

Model says: Titans

Green Smiley Watch:

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_WST_GLD #}

Cowboys v Broncos

Model says: Cowboys

Green Smiley Watch: 

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_NQL_BRI #}

Sea Eagles v Warriors

Model says: Sea Eagles

Green Smiley Watch:

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_MAN_WAR #}

Dragons v Bulldogs

Model says: Dragons

Green Smiley Watch: 

{# PRE-MATCH NRL_2021_09_SGI_CBY #}

Markets are constantly moving which is being factored in by the model as it updates, so be sure to check in with the match page before kick-off to see whether new information or market movement has created a green smiley (as it did Wednesday night with the Overs bet for tonight’s Rabbitohs v Storm game).

Enjoy the footy!

Come join the Twitter party @Club20 for our most up-to-date bets


Cruelly denied sporting glory due to recurring shin splint complaints and an aversion to warm-up laps, Hedge now spends his days golfing, fishing the leaves out of the Club 20 pools and identifying value plays in PGA, AFL, AFLW and T20. All you really need to know about him is he's more than comfortable taking 3I off the tee on a Par 5, and more than capable of pulling driver off the deck second shot.

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