Richmond vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2025
Last updated: Jul 12, 2025, 9:35AM | Published: Jul 10, 2025, 7:05PM
Richmond will face the favoured Essendon in AFL Round 18 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Essendon game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Richmond vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Bombers a 71% chance of winning against the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $3.30, Essendon $1.36
- Line: Richmond +15.5 ($1.91), Essendon -15.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $3.30 and Essendon at $1.36.
The Tigers are 15.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bombers (-15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+15.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Richmond vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Richmond at $3.30 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +15.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Richmond vs Essendon predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bombers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Tigers to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Richmond vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Essendon winning 88-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs Essendon game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Tigers and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 12 July 2025
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Essendon predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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