Richmond vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2025
Last updated: Jul 12, 2025, 4:10AM | Published: Jul 10, 2025, 7:05PM
Richmond will sqaure off with the favoured Essendon in AFL Round 18 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 7:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Richmond vs Essendon game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Richmond vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 71% chance of winning against the Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Essendon: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Richmond $2.90, Essendon $1.44
- Line: Richmond +14.5 ($1.91), Essendon -14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Richmond at $2.90 and Essendon at $1.44.
The Tigers are listed as 14.5-point underdogs against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bombers (-14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Richmond and Essendon have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Richmond vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.44 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon -14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Richmond vs Essendon predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
Richmond vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Richmond vs Essendon at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Essendon winning 88-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Richmond vs Essendon match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Richmond vs Essendon: Goal Kickers
Searching for Richmond vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Essendon's Peter Wright is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Richmond vs Essendon.
Wright has a 10.0% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Bombers star has a 93.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Richmond
- Jacob Koschitzke: 6.4% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 5.1% probability
- Seth Campbell: 4.8% probability
- Maurice Rioli: 4.1% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.6% probability
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 10.0% probability
- Nate Caddy: 8.3% probability
- Nic Martin: 4.6% probability
- Sam Durham: 4.0% probability
- Xavier Duursma: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Richmond
- Jacob Koschitzke: 80.3% probability
- Rhyan Mansell: 78.2% probability
- Seth Campbell: 72.3% probability
- Maurice Rioli: 65.8% probability
- Tim Taranto: 63.7% probability
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 93.9% probability
- Nate Caddy: 90.9% probability
- Nic Martin: 72.0% probability
- Sam Durham: 66.2% probability
- Zach Merrett: 66.0% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Richmond vs Essendon game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Richmond vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Tigers and Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Richmond vs Essendon
- Date: Saturday 12 July 2025
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Richmond vs Essendon predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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