BBL Markets Preview – Strikers v Renegades

Welcome to Stats Insider's Big Bash Market Preview - your daily look at what the model (and my gut) are seeing in the main markets (and a few exotics) each and every day of BBL08! 

SO'K at 67’s for Player of the Match, Sangha at 21’s for most runs – are you not entertained!!!

Let’s see where we can find some value today in the markets according to the model which has been on fire (woah, Ian you are on fire!) so far in the Bash.

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RELATED: 2018-19 BBL Team Projections

Head to Head

No bet suggested in the main market tonight with just a 3% edge for the home side. Markets are once again disrespecting the Renegades ($2.30 outsiders) but the model is not falling for any false value, banking instead on the defending champions to continue their winnings ways.

Slight concern for mine is the loss of (and I can’t believe I’m saying this) P. Siddle who has kept it very tight for the Strikers.

Fall of 1^st Wicket

Very solid 6% edge for the Strikers to beat the 22.5 runs for this Fall of First Wicket market. There is a lot of pressure on the Strikers openers to carry their innings and I expect they know this and will respect their wickets. Don’t often see edges this high in this market so consider strongly.

Most Sixes

After nailing the Heat last night in this market, there’s not much value today from the model with just a 3% edge for the Strikers.

Team Leading After 6 Overs

Consistency from the model here which has found a monster 8% edge for the home side to be leading after 6 overs.

High Bat

While he bats at #5 Jon Wells ($8.00) should always be very strongly considered. 2 wickets in the power play and Wells is one pole away from getting plenty of time to rebuild an innings before launching. Looked in great touch too first up.

For the Renegades I just can’t look past the class of White. Yes he’s the shortest price ($3.75) but again, two wickets and he is in with the team’s chances on his back. Can farm the spinners too.

Player of the Match

Expect a big innings with the bat wins this market given the dominance I expect the ball to enjoy over the bat. White and Wells for me look the best value for their exposure. Short if no O’Connor is also a great play.

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