BBL Markets Preview Game 23 - Renegades v Hurricanes

Welcome to Stats Insider's Big Bash Market Preview - your daily look at what the model (and my gut) are seeing in the main markets (and a few exotics) each and every day of BBL08! 

Aaron Finch returns for the Renegades but the Stats Insider model is finding the value is with the visitors tonight, particularly in the power play. 

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Head to Head

No edge in the main market, this game will be a bowler-friendly scrap on a pitch that is very tricky to navigate for batsman so markets are not keen to give the undefeated Hurricanes too much weight here and the $1.80 looks spot on according to the model. 

Team Leading After 6 Overs

The model likes the Hurricanes in this market, identifying a 6% edge for the visitors from the 10,000 match simulations run. 

Most Sixes

Again the bookies have this pretty well right according to the model. There have not been too many boundaries let alone sixes in the two games at Marvel thus far with batsman struggling big time against the uneven bounce. 

High Bat

Value alert in these exotics in a game where the lower order will get time at the crease. McDermott ($7), Bailey ($8), Milenko ($13) and Faulkner ($26) all offer value for the Hurricanes whilst for the Renegades the $11 about Mohammad Nabi and $17 for Dan Christian look unreal value. 

Player of the Match

Extreme value alert here - this deck at Marvel has been a seamers paradise. Archer ($11), Usman Khan ($17), Richardson ($21) and Faulkner at $19's are all value given the assistance they will likely receive from this pitch. 

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