United States World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:39PM | Published: Nov 10, 2022, 4:12PM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that United States can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

United States has been drawn in Group B of the World Cup 2022, with games against England, Wales and Iran determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

United States FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

United States vs Wales: 22 November, 6:00AM
United States vs England: 26 November, 6:00AM
United States vs Iran: 30 November, 6:00AM

After reaching the round of 16 in both 2010 and 2014, the United States failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup, missing the tournament for the first time since 1986. The USA will try to get back on track in 2022 with another trip out of the group stage.

United States World Cup Predictions

Stats Insider's model projects the United States' chances of making the round of 16 at 44.0%. The USA will be in a tight battle with Iran (30.3% to advance) and Wales (42.8% to advance) for a top-two spot in Group B while England is a comfortable favourite to advance at 83.9%.

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United States' Odds for World Cup 2022

If the United States does advance to the second round, its most likely
opponents in the round of 16 is the Netherlands at 47.6% of the time and Senegal at 24.0%. The USA has a 19.1% chance of making the quarterfinals.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	0.8%	$250
Make the final	2.4%	$75
Make the semi final	7.4%	$17.50
Make the quarter final	19.5%	$5.50
Make the round of 16	44.0%	$2.10
Win Group B	16.4%	$7.00

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

United States World Cup 2022 Best Bets

The US team is slight favorite against Wales for their opening World Cup match, with our model projecting them as a 39.6% chance of winning, compared to 32.4% for Wales, and 28.0% for a draw.

With a 39.6% probability, any odds of above $2.53 presents good value, with the Betfair Exchange currently offering $2.62.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For United States

As well as the above head-to-bet on the United States, the o2.5 total goals is also presenting value according to the Stats Insider model.

Our fair odds for this bet are $2.42, with $2.56 currently available with Betfair.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on United States vs Wales, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.