Croatia World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Nov 15, 2022, 2:42PM | Published: Nov 11, 2022, 11:47AM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Croatia can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Croatia has been drawn in Group F of the World Cup 2022, with games against Belgium, Morocco and Canada determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Croatia FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Croatia vs Morocco: 23 November, 9:00PM
Croatia vs Canada: 28 November, 3:00AM
Croatia vs Belgium: 2 December, 2:00AM

Croatia returns to the World Cup in 2022 after its incredible run to a runner-up finish in the 2018 World Cup. Midfielder Luka Modric won the 2018 World Cup's Golden Ball as the tournament's best overall player.

Croatia World Cup Predictions

Despite their success in 2018, Stats Insider's model projects that Croatia will only win Group F 24.2% of the time and gives the squad a 54.3% chance of advancing into the round of 16.

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Croatia's Odds for World Cup 2022

Croatia has a 23.1% chance of making it to the quarterfinals and just a 4.4% chance of making another run to the final. Croatia's most likely opponents in the round of 16 are Spain at 42.0% of the time and Germany at 40.2%.

Things don't get easier for Croatia in the quarterfinals, with Brazil projected as the team's most likely opponent at 30.3%.

Stage of World Cup 2022	Stats Insider Probability	Best Betfair odds
Overall winner	1.7%	$55
Make the final	4.4%	$19.50
Make the semi final	10.3%	$9.60
Make the quarter final	23.1%	$4.20
Make the round of 16	54.3%	$1.52
Win Group D	24.2%	$3.50

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 11th.

Croatia World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Croatia is favoured to win its first game in Qatar, with our model projecting the 2018 finalists as a 48.1% chance of winning.

With Morocco at a 25.6% win chance and the draw a 26.3% chance of happening, any odds above $2.08 for Croatia to win would be a bet.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Croatia

The bet to make on this game is for both teams to score, which you can currently get at $2.12 on the Betfair Exchange. Our model's fair odds are $2.06, giving us a 1% edge on the market.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on Croatia vs Morocco, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

RELATED: Croatia vs Morocco Prediction

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.