AFL Expert Tips for Round 20, 2022

Jul 28, 2022, 10:48PM

Stats Insider is here to lend a hand with AFL expert tips for every game this weekend, providing you with an edge when entering your AFL tips for Round 20.

After simulating every AFL game over 10,000 times, we, as Australia's leading sports analytics site, have AFL footy tips for Round 20.

Our data-driven AFL predictions for Round 20 of the 2022 AFL season provide you with the information you need to perform at your best in AFL tipping competitions.

For reference, AFL tipsters that followed our Round 19 AFL tips 2022 article, correctly tipped an impressive eight out of nine games.

AFL Expert Tips for Round 20

Fremantle vs Melbourne

A massive Friday night game gets us underway this week, and we're tipping Melbourne with a 53% win probability. The home team Fremantle has a 47% chance of winning.

Fremantle vs Melbourne is at Optus Stadium on Friday, July 27 at 8:10pm AEST.

Collingwood vs Port Adelaide

We're projecting Collingwood to have a 64% win likelihood this week, with Port Adelaide a 36% chance of pulling off the upset.

Collingwood vs Port Adelaide is at the MCG on Saturday, July 30 at 1:45pm AEST.

Sydney vs GWS

In one of the most lopsided projected AFL games this week, our mode suggests Sydney is an 80% chance of winning. Their cross-town rivals GSW have a win projection of 20%.

RELATED: AFL Futures Predictions

Sydney vs GWS is at the SGC on Saturday, July 30 at 2:10pm AEST.

St Kilda vs Hawthorn

In one of the tightest projected AFL games of Round 20, our model has this one a 50-50 with a slight lean to the home team. We're tipping St Kilda with a 51% win probability. Their opponents Hawthorn have a 49% chance of winning.

St Kilda vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 30 at 4:35pm AEST.

Geelong vs Western Bulldogs

We are projecting Geelong as a 73% chance of getting their 10th straight win, whilst the Western Bulldogs have a 27% chance of making it eight wins in 11 games.

Geelong vs Western Bulldogs is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, July 30 at 7:25pm AEST.

Adelaide vs Carlton

After over 10,000 simulations, we're projecting Carlton to win at a 71% rate, whilst Adelaide has a 29% chance of getting the victory.

Adelaide vs Carlton is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 30 at 7:30pm AEST.

Gold Coast vs West Coast

The recommended tip for this game is Gold Coast who have a 86% win probability against a West Coast side with a 14% chance of winning.

Gold Coast vs West Coast is at the Metricon Stadium on Sunday, July 31 at 1:10pm AEST.

Richmond vs Brisbane

In one of the tightest games of Round 20 AFL, our model is tipping Richmond with a 53% win probability. Brisbane has a 47% chance of making it three wins in a row.

Richmond vs Brisbane is at the MCG on Sunday, July 31 at 3:20pm AEST.

Essendon vs North Melbourne

The most likely AFL team to win this week is Essendon with a 92% win projection, whilst North Melbourne has an 8% chance of getting the win.

Essendon vs North Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 31 at 4:40pm AEST.

Expert AFL Tips Round 20 2022

Melbourne
Collingwood
Sydney
St Kilda
Geelong
Carlton
Gold Coast
Brisbane
Essendon

RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game

All AFL tips this week and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.