Yankees vs Pirates Prediction and MLB Tips - 23 July 2026
Last updated: Jul 22, 2026, 5:05PM | Published: Jul 21, 2026, 6:39PM
The New York Yankees will sqaure off with the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 3:35am AEST.
The Yankees will send Gerrit Cole (3-5, 3.93 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Mitch Keller (6-7, 5.14 ERA) for the Pirates.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Yankees vs Pirates game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh MLB game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Yankees a 62% chance of winning against the Pirates at Yankee Stadium.
Yankees vs Pirates: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's MLB game at Yankee Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Yankees $1.58, Pirates $2.40
- Line: Yankees -1.5 ($2.14), Pirates +1.5 ($1.71)
- Total (Over/Under 9.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Yankees at $1.58 and the Pirates at $2.40.
The Yankees are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Pirates, with odds of $2.14 available at TAB.
For the underdog Pirates (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.71.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Pirates (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 9.5-run over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Yankees vs Pirates: Best Bets
- Head to Head: NY Yankees at $1.58 with TAB
- Line: Yankees -1.5 at $2.14 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Stats Insider's Yankees vs Pirates betting tips are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Pirates are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Yankees -1.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Yankees vs Pirates: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Yankees vs Pirates: Essential Details
The game between the Yankees and Pirates at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:35am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Thursday 23 July 2026
- Time: 3:35am AEST
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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