Yankees vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 5 May 2026
Last updated: May 4, 2026, 11:10PM | Published: May 3, 2026, 5:33PM
The New York Yankees will face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 9:05am AEST.
The Yankees will send Cam Schlittler (4-1, 1.51 ERA) to the mound, while the Orioles are going with Shane Baz (1-2, 4.50 ERA).
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Yankees vs Orioles game, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NY Yankees vs Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Yankees a 64% chance of defeating the Orioles at Yankee Stadium.
Yankees vs Orioles: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's MLB game at Yankee Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Yankees $1.45, Orioles $2.80
- Line: Yankees -1.5 ($1.91), Orioles +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Yankees at $1.45 and the Orioles at $2.80.
The Yankees are 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $1.91 available at TAB.
For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 55% of the time.
Yankees vs Orioles: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Baltimore at $2.80 with TAB
- Line: Orioles +1.5 at $1.91 with TAB
- Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB
Today's Yankees vs Orioles best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Yankees have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Orioles to win is our recommended option because of the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Yankees vs Orioles: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Yankees vs Baltimore game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the NY Yankees vs Baltimore match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every MLB game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Yankees vs Orioles: Essential Details
The match-up between the Yankees and Orioles at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:05am AEST on Tuesday.
- Teams: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Tuesday 5 May 2026
- Time: 9:05am AEST
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our NY Yankees vs Baltimore predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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