Yankees vs Orioles Prediction and MLB Tips - 29 September 2025

The New York Yankees will face the Baltimore Orioles in Game 3 of the American League Division Series at Yankee Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:05am AEST.

Luis Gil (4-1, 3.29 ERA) will be on the bump for the Yankees, while the Orioles are going with Kyle Bradish (1-1, 2.25 ERA).

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Yankees vs Orioles game, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's NY Yankees vs Baltimore MLB match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Yankees a 62% chance of beating the Orioles at Yankee Stadium.

Yankees vs Orioles: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's MLB game at Yankee Stadium are listed here:

• Head to Head: Yankees $1.52, Orioles $2.55
• Line: Yankees -1.5 ($2.15), Orioles +1.5 ($1.72)
• Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Yankees at $1.52 and the Orioles at $2.55.

The Yankees are listed as 1.5-run favourites against the Orioles, with odds of $2.15 available at TAB.

For the underdog Orioles (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB offers odds of $1.72.

The over/under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Orioles (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 8.5-run over/under is expected to go over 59% of the time.

Yankees vs Orioles: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Baltimore at $2.55 with TAB
• Line: Orioles +1.5 at $1.72 with TAB
• Total Runs: Over 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

Stats Insider's Yankees vs Orioles predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.

While the Yankees have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Orioles to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.

Yankees vs Orioles: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the NY Yankees vs Baltimore game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the NY Yankees vs Baltimore match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every MLB game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Yankees vs Orioles: Essential Details

The game between the Yankees and Orioles at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:05am AEST on Monday.

• Teams: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
• Date: Monday 29 September 2025
• Time: 5:05am AEST
• Venue: Yankee Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our NY Yankees vs Baltimore predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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