West Coast vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 31, 2026, 9:15AM | Published: May 24, 2026, 10:36AM
West Coast will face Essendon in AFL Round 12 action at Optus Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the West Coast vs Essendon game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's West Coast vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Eagles a 62% chance of winning against the Bombers at Optus Stadium.
West Coast vs Essendon: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: West Coast $1.44, Essendon $2.80
- Line: West Coast -12.5 ($1.91), Essendon +12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 140.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has West Coast at $1.44 and Essendon at $2.80.
The Eagles are listed as 12.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 140.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+12.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 140.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
West Coast vs Essendon: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $2.80 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 140.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's West Coast vs Essendon betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Eagles have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option due to the 2.8% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
West Coast vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for West Coast vs Essendon at Optus Stadium on Sunday is West Coast winning 75-65.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the West Coast vs Essendon match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.West Coast vs Essendon: Goal Kickers
Looking for West Coast vs Essendon goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, West Coast's Jake Waterman is the most likely player to kick the first goal in West Coast vs Essendon.
Waterman has a 12.6% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Eagles star has a 96.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
West Coast
- Jake Waterman: 12.6% probability
- Jobe Shanahan: 6.2% probability
- Harley Reid: 5.1% probability
- Milan Murdock: 4.7% probability
- Elliot Yeo: 4.6% probability
Essendon
- Nate Caddy: 10.8% probability
- Archer May: 6.2% probability
- Thomas Edwards: 4.2% probability
- Xavier Duursma: 3.2% probability
- Jade Gresham: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
West Coast
- Jake Waterman: 96.3% probability
- Jobe Shanahan: 81.7% probability
- Milan Murdock: 71.4% probability
- Harley Reid: 71.4% probability
- Elliot Yeo: 71.4% probability
Essendon
- Nate Caddy: 94.2% probability
- Archer May: 80.6% probability
- Thomas Edwards: 68.2% probability
- Xavier Duursma: 54.6% probability
- Sullivan Robey: 54.6% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the West Coast vs Essendon match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
West Coast vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 12 clash between the Eagles and Bombers at Optus Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: West Coast vs Essendon
- Date: Sunday 31 May 2026
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Optus Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our West Coast vs Essendon predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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