Warriors vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 3 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 2, 2026, 7:47PM | Published: Jan 2, 2026, 5:01PM
The Golden State Warriors will face the favoured Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Chase Center on Saturday, commencing at 2:00pm AEDT.
Led by star players Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, the Warriors are aiming to beat a Thunder side that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Thunder game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Golden State vs Oklahoma City NBA game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 78% chance of winning against the Warriors at Chase Center.
Warriors vs Thunder: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's NBA game at Chase Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $5.50, Thunder $1.17
- Line: Warriors +13 ($1.91), Thunder -13 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 224.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Warriors at $5.50 and the Thunder at $1.17.
The Warriors are 13-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Thunder (-13) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 224.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Warriors and the Thunder have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 224.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Warriors vs Thunder: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Golden State at $5.50 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +13 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 224.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Warriors vs Thunder predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option due to the 3.4% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Warriors vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Thunder at Chase Center this Saturday is the Thunder winning 118-109.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Warriors vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Warriors and Thunder at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 2:00pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Saturday 3 January 2026
- Time: 2:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Chase Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Golden State vs Oklahoma City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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