Warriors vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 3 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 3, 2026, 3:09AM | Published: Jan 2, 2026, 5:01PM
The Golden State Warriors will take on the favoured Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Chase Center on Saturday, starting at 2:00pm AEDT.
Led by the likes of Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody and Pat Spencer, the Warriors are looking to overcome a Thunder line-up that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Warriors vs Thunder game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Golden State vs Oklahoma City NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Thunder an 84% chance of defeating the Warriors at Chase Center.
Warriors vs Thunder: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's NBA game at Chase Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $6.00, Thunder $1.14
- Line: Warriors +13.5 ($1.91), Thunder -13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 226.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Warriors at $6.00 and the Thunder at $1.14.
The Warriors are listed as 13.5-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Thunder (-13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 226.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (+13.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 226.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs Thunder: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Golden State at $6.00 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 226.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Our Warriors vs Thunder best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Warriors vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Thunder at Chase Center this Saturday is the Thunder winning 119-107.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Warriors vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Golden State vs Oklahoma City match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Warriors and Thunder at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Saturday 3 January 2026
- Time: 2:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Chase Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Golden State vs Oklahoma City predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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