Warriors vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 3 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 3, 2025, 2:21AM | Published: Dec 2, 2025, 6:05PM
The Golden State Warriors will take on the favoured Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Chase Center on Wednesday, commencing at 3:00pm AEDT.
Led by the likes of Jimmy Butler, Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga, the Warriors are aiming to beat a Thunder team that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Warriors vs Thunder game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Golden State vs Oklahoma City NBA game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder an 80% chance of winning against the Warriors at Chase Center.
Warriors vs Thunder: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NBA game at Chase Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $5.25, Thunder $1.17
- Line: Warriors +11.5 ($1.91), Thunder -11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 223 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Warriors at $5.25 and the Thunder at $1.17.
The Warriors are 11.5-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Thunder (-11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 223 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+11.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 223-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs Thunder: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Golden State at $5.25 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 223 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Warriors vs Thunder best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.
Warriors vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Thunder at Chase Center on Wednesday is the Thunder winning 116-106.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Warriors vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Warriors and Thunder at Chase Center is scheduled to tip off at 3:00pm AEDT on Wednesday.
- Teams: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Wednesday 3 December 2025
- Time: 3:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Chase Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Golden State vs Oklahoma City predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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