Warriors vs Thunder Prediction and NBA Tips - 3 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 3, 2025, 4:10AM | Published: Dec 2, 2025, 6:05PM
The Golden State Warriors will take on the favoured Oklahoma City Thunder in NBA action at Chase Center on Wednesday, beginning at 3:00pm AEDT.
Led by the likes of Jimmy Butler, Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga, the Warriors are aiming to beat a Thunder side that includes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Thunder game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Wednesday's Golden State vs Oklahoma City NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder an 80% chance of beating the Warriors at Chase Center.
Warriors vs Thunder: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's NBA game at Chase Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $5.00, Thunder $1.18
- Line: Warriors +11 ($1.91), Thunder -11 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 223.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Warriors at $5.00 and the Thunder at $1.18.
The Warriors are 11-point underdogs against the Thunder, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Thunder (-11) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 223.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+11) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 223.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs Thunder: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Golden State at $5.00 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +11 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 223.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Warriors vs Thunder predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Warriors vs Thunder: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Thunder at Chase Center on Wednesday is the Thunder winning 116-106.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game on Wednesday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Warriors vs Thunder prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Golden State vs Oklahoma City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Thunder: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Warriors and Thunder at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEDT on Wednesday.
- Teams: Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- Date: Wednesday 3 December 2025
- Time: 3:00pm AEDT
- Venue: Chase Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Golden State vs Oklahoma City predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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