Warriors vs Roosters Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 1, 2026
Last updated: Mar 6, 2026, 7:00AM | Published: Feb 26, 2026, 2:25PM
The Warriors will take on the Roosters in NRL Round 1 action at Go Media Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:00pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Warriors vs Roosters game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's New Zealand vs Sydney NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Roosters a 64% chance of winning against the Warriors at Go Media Stadium.
Warriors vs Roosters: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $2.55, Roosters $1.50
- Line: Warriors +5.5 ($1.91), Roosters -5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $2.55 and the Roosters at $1.50.
The Warriors are 5.5-point underdogs against the Roosters, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Roosters (-5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Warriors and the Roosters have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 42.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs Roosters: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $2.55 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors +5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Warriors vs Roosters best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Roosters have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Warriors to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Warriors vs Roosters: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Roosters at Go Media Stadium on Friday is the Roosters winning 23-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Roosters match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Roosters: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Roosters try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Roosters' Mark Nawaqanitawase is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Sydney.
Nawaqanitawase has a 9.4% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Roosters star has a 47.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 7.6% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 7.0% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 4.4% probability
- Adam Pompey: 4.1% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 3.3% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 9.4% probability
- Daniel Tupou: 9.3% probability
- James Tedesco: 6.2% probability
- Fetalaiga Pauga: 4.0% probability
- Billy Smith: 3.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 42.0% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 38.8% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 26.0% probability
- Adam Pompey: 25.0% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 19.3% probability
Sydney Roosters
- Mark Nawaqanitawase: 47.9% probability
- Daniel Tupou: 47.8% probability
- James Tedesco: 35.1% probability
- Billy Smith: 26.5% probability
- Fetalaiga Pauga: 24.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Roosters game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Roosters: Essential Details
The NRL Round 1 clash between the Warriors and Roosters at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Sydney Roosters
- Date: Friday 6 March 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEDT
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Roosters predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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