Warriors vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 23, 2026
Last updated: Aug 7, 2026, 8:00AM | Published: Aug 2, 2026, 11:50PM
The Warriors will face the Panthers in NRL Round 23 action at Go Media Stadium on Friday, starting at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Panthers game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's New Zealand vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Panthers a 59% chance of defeating the Warriors in Round 23 of the 2026 NRL season.
Warriors vs Panthers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $2.20, Panthers $1.61
- Line: Warriors +2.5 ($1.91), Panthers -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 40.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $2.20 and the Panthers at $1.61.
The Warriors are 2.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 40.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Warriors and the Panthers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 40.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Warriors vs Panthers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.61 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 40.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Warriors vs Panthers best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
Warriors vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Panthers at Go Media Stadium on Friday is the Panthers winning 22-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Warriors vs Panthers match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Panthers try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Thomas Jenkins is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Penrith.
Jenkins has a 11.6% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 53.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 10.0% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 8.3% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 4.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 4.2% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 3.2% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 11.6% probability
- Brian To'o: 7.6% probability
- Jaxen Edgar: 4.8% probability
- Nathan Cleary: 3.6% probability
- Izack Tago: 3.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 48.5% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 42.6% probability
- Leka Halasima: 25.4% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 24.8% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 20.4% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 53.2% probability
- Brian To'o: 39.6% probability
- Jaxen Edgar: 28.0% probability
- Izack Tago: 23.4% probability
- Paul Alamoti: 22.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Panthers match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Round 23 clash between the Warriors and Panthers at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Friday 7 August 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Panthers predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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