Warriors vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 9, 2025, 7:15AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 5:57AM
The Warriors will take on the favoured Panthers in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Panthers game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's New Zealand vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 76% chance of beating the Warriors at Go Media Stadium.
Warriors vs Panthers: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $3.60, Panthers $1.30
- Line: Warriors +9.5 ($1.91), Panthers -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $3.60 and the Panthers at $1.30.
The Warriors are 9.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Panthers (-9.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Warriors vs Panthers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Warriors vs Panthers best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Panthers at Go Media Stadium on Saturday is the Panthers winning 26-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Panthers match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Searching for Warriors vs Panthers try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Paul Alamoti is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Penrith.
Alamoti has a 8.3% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 44.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 7.4% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 6.4% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 3.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.2% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Paul Alamoti: 8.3% probability
- Brian To'o: 7.4% probability
- Casey McLean: 7.3% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 5.2% probability
- Izack Tago: 5.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 40.0% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 36.2% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 23.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 22.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 21.2% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Paul Alamoti: 44.7% probability
- Casey McLean: 41.6% probability
- Brian To'o: 41.4% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 31.8% probability
- Izack Tago: 30.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Panthers game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Warriors and Panthers at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Saturday 13 September 2025
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Panthers predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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