Warriors vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 11, 2025, 10:22AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 7:20AM
The Warriors will sqaure off with the favoured Panthers in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Warriors vs Panthers game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's New Zealand vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 75% chance of beating the Warriors in the first week of NRL finals.
Warriors vs Panthers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $3.60, Panthers $1.30
- Line: Warriors +9.5 ($1.91), Panthers -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $3.60 and the Panthers at $1.30.
The Warriors are 9.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Panthers (-9.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 42.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs Panthers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Warriors vs Panthers best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Panthers at Go Media Stadium on Saturday is the Panthers prevailing 26-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Panthers match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Warriors vs Panthers try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Paul Alamoti is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Penrith.
Alamoti has a 8.3% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 44.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 7.4% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 6.4% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 3.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.2% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Paul Alamoti: 8.3% probability
- Brian To'o: 7.4% probability
- Casey McLean: 7.3% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 5.2% probability
- Izack Tago: 5.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 40.0% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 36.2% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 23.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 22.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 21.2% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Paul Alamoti: 44.7% probability
- Casey McLean: 41.6% probability
- Brian To'o: 41.4% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 31.8% probability
- Izack Tago: 30.6% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Panthers match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Warriors and Panthers at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Saturday 13 September 2025
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Panthers predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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