Warriors vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Sep 13, 2025, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 9, 2025, 7:20AM
The Warriors will take on the favoured Panthers in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Panthers game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's New Zealand vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Panthers a 76% chance of defeating the Warriors in the first week of NRL finals.
Warriors vs Panthers: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $3.60, Panthers $1.30
- Line: Warriors +9.5 ($1.91), Panthers -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $3.60 and the Panthers at $1.30.
The Warriors are listed as 9.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Warriors and the Panthers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 42.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs Panthers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Panthers at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Panthers -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Warriors vs Panthers predictions are based on complex simulations and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Panthers at Go Media Stadium on Saturday is the Panthers prevailing 26-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Panthers match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Warriors vs Panthers try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Paul Alamoti is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Penrith.
Alamoti has a 8.2% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 44.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 8.0% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 6.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.8% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.7% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 3.5% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Paul Alamoti: 8.2% probability
- Brian To'o: 7.5% probability
- Casey McLean: 7.2% probability
- Izack Tago: 5.2% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 5.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 42.5% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 39.2% probability
- Leka Halasima: 25.7% probability
- Adam Pompey: 25.0% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 21.1% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Paul Alamoti: 44.7% probability
- Casey McLean: 42.5% probability
- Brian To'o: 42.3% probability
- Izack Tago: 31.8% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 31.2% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Panthers match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Warriors and Panthers at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:05pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Saturday 13 September 2025
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Panthers predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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