Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 23 February 2026

The Golden State Warriors will face the favoured Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Chase Center on Monday, commencing at 7:30am AEDT.

Led by star players Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton and Moses Moody, the Warriors are looking to overcome a Nuggets side that includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Nuggets game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Golden State vs Denver NBA game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Nuggets a 71% chance of winning against the Warriors at Chase Center.

Warriors vs Nuggets: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NBA game at Chase Center are listed below:

• Head to Head: Warriors $3.00, Nuggets $1.41
• Line: Warriors +6.5 ($1.91), Nuggets -6.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 227.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Warriors at $3.00 and the Nuggets at $1.41.

The Warriors are listed as 6.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Nuggets (-6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 227.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 227.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Warriors vs Nuggets: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Denver at $1.41 with Bet365
• Line: Warriors +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 227.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Warriors vs Nuggets predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

Warriors vs Nuggets: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Nuggets at Chase Center on Monday is the Nuggets winning 117-110.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Golden State vs Denver game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Warriors vs Nuggets prediction, put together by experts in the US.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Golden State vs Denver match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Warriors vs Nuggets: Essential Details

The NBA game between the Warriors and Nuggets at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
• Date: Monday 23 February 2026
• Time: 7:30am AEDT
• Venue: Chase Center

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Golden State vs Denver predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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