Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction and NBA Tips - 26 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 25, 2025, 4:09PM | Published: Dec 25, 2025, 12:03PM
The Golden State Warriors will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Chase Center on Friday, commencing at 9:00am AEDT.
With star players Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski, the Warriors are up against a Mavericks team that includes Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg and P.J. Washington.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Mavericks game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Golden State vs Dallas NBA game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Warriors a 74% chance of winning against the Mavericks at Chase Center.
Warriors vs Mavericks: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Chase Center are listed here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.31, Mavericks $3.60
- Line: Warriors -8 ($1.91), Mavericks +8 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 229.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Warriors at $1.31 and the Mavericks at $3.60.
The Warriors are 8-point favourites against the Mavericks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Mavericks (+8) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 229.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Mavericks (+8) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 229.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Warriors vs Mavericks: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Dallas at $3.60 with Bet365
- Line: Mavericks +8 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 229.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Warriors vs Mavericks best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mavericks to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Warriors vs Mavericks: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Mavericks at Chase Center this Friday is the Warriors winning 118-110.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Golden State vs Dallas game on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Warriors vs Mavericks prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Golden State vs Dallas game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Mavericks: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Warriors and Mavericks at Chase Center is scheduled to tip off at 9:00am AEDT on Friday.
- Teams: Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Friday 26 December 2025
- Time: 9:00am AEDT
- Venue: Chase Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Golden State vs Dallas predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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