Warriors vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Semi-Final 2026
Last updated: Sep 20, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 13, 2026, 10:20PM
The Warriors will take on the Knights in NRL Semi-Final action at Go Media Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Knights game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's New Zealand vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors an 82% chance of beating the Knights at Go Media Stadium.
Warriors vs Knights: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.35, Knights $3.10
- Line: Warriors -8.5 ($1.91), Knights +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.35 and the Knights at $3.10.
The Warriors are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Knights (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Warriors vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.35 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Warriors vs Knights best bets are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Knights at Go Media Stadium on Sunday is the Warriors winning 29-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Warriors vs Knights match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Knights: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Newcastle.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 10.3% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 53.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 10.3% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 10.0% probability
- Leka Halasima: 5.5% probability
- Jacob Laban: 4.2% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 4.1% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 8.1% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 8.0% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 4.5% probability
- Bradman Best: 3.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 3.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 54.5% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 53.7% probability
- Leka Halasima: 34.4% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 28.1% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 27.8% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 45.7% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 45.2% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 29.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 26.9% probability
- Kalyn Ponga: 22.7% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Knights match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Semi-Final clash between the Warriors and Knights at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday 20 September 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Knights predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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