Warriors vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 20, 2026
Last updated: Jul 18, 2026, 7:33AM | Published: Jul 12, 2026, 11:10PM
The Warriors will take on the Dragons in NRL Round 20 action at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Dragons game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's New Zealand vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Warriors an 84% chance of beating the Dragons in Round 20 of the 2026 NRL season.
Warriors vs Dragons: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.12, Dragons $5.50
- Line: Warriors -16.5 ($1.91), Dragons +16.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.12 and the Dragons at $5.50.
The Warriors are 16.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+16.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dragons (+16.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Warriors vs Dragons: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $5.50 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +16.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Warriors vs Dragons best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Warriors vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Dragons at Go Media Stadium on Saturday is the Warriors winning 29-14.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Warriors vs St George match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Warriors vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs St George Illawarra.
Khan-Pereira has a 15.2% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 68.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 15.2% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 11.8% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.7% probability
- Adam Pompey: 4.2% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 3.9% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 6.2% probability
- Setu Tu: 4.4% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 3.6% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 2.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 68.3% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 60.3% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 33.0% probability
- Adam Pompey: 28.3% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 25.3% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 36.5% probability
- Setu Tu: 29.2% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 29.1% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 23.6% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 20.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Warriors vs Dragons match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 20 clash between the Warriors and Dragons at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:35pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Saturday 18 July 2026
- Kick-off: 5:35pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs St George predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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