Warriors vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 8, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026, 8:05AM | Published: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06AM
The Warriors will sqaure off with the Dolphins in NRL Round 8 action at Wellington Regional Stadium on Saturday, starting at 6:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Dolphins game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's New Zealand vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Warriors a 65% chance of defeating the Dolphins at Wellington Regional Stadium.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Wellington Regional Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.45, Dolphins $2.75
- Line: Warriors -6.5 ($1.91), Dolphins +6.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.45 and the Dolphins at $2.75.
The Warriors are 6.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+6.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+6.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $2.75 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins +6.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Warriors vs Dolphins betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice every time.
While the Warriors have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Dolphins at Wellington Regional Stadium on Saturday is the Warriors winning 27-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Dolphins match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Dolphins: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Dolphins try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Dolphins.
Khan-Pereira has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first try at Wellington Regional Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 62.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 12.6% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.2% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 4.6% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 4.2% probability
- Leka Halasima: 4.0% probability
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 8.3% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 5.7% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 5.6% probability
- Jake Averillo: 5.0% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 5.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 62.8% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 53.5% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 32.5% probability
- Leka Halasima: 28.1% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 27.4% probability
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 49.1% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 37.5% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 37.5% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 35.4% probability
- Jake Averillo: 34.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Dolphins match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Round 8 clash between the Warriors and Dolphins at Wellington Regional Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:05pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins
- Date: Saturday 25 April 2026
- Kick-off: 6:05pm AEST
- Location: Wellington Regional Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Dolphins predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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