Warriors vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Jul 30, 2025, 7:35AM | Published: Jul 27, 2025, 11:25PM
The Warriors will sqaure off with the Dolphins in NRL Round 22 action at Go Media Stadium on Friday, starting at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Warriors vs Dolphins game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's New Zealand vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 63% chance of beating the Warriors in Round 22 of the 2025 NRL season.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $2.15, Dolphins $1.72
- Line: Warriors +2.5 ($1.91), Dolphins -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $2.15 and the Dolphins at $1.72.
The Warriors are 2.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dolphins (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $1.72 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Our Warriors vs Dolphins betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Dolphins at Go Media Stadium on Friday is the Dolphins winning 25-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Dolphins match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Dolphins: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Dolphins try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Dolphins.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 9.8% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 52.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.8% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 8.5% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 5.4% probability
- Leka Halasima: 4.0% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.9% probability
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 9.4% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 6.2% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 6.1% probability
- Jake Averillo: 5.4% probability
- Kodi Nikorima: 3.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 52.8% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 48.2% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 32.8% probability
- Leka Halasima: 28.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 26.9% probability
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 51.1% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 39.5% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 38.2% probability
- Jake Averillo: 35.2% probability
- Kodi Nikorima: 24.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Dolphins match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Warriors and Dolphins at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins
- Date: Friday 1 August 2025
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Dolphins predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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