Warriors vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Finals Week 1 2026
Last updated: Sep 12, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: Sep 6, 2026, 11:45PM
The Warriors will face the Dolphins in NRL Finals Week 1 action at Go Media Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Warriors vs Dolphins game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's New Zealand vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 67% chance of beating the Dolphins in the first week of NRL finals.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Go Media Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.66, Dolphins $2.13
- Line: Warriors -2.5 ($1.91), Dolphins +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.66 and the Dolphins at $2.13.
The Warriors are 2.5-point favourites against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dolphins (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.66 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Today's Warriors vs Dolphins predictions are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Dolphins at Go Media Stadium this Saturday is the Warriors winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Dolphins match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Dolphins: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Warriors vs Dolphins try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Dolphins.
Khan-Pereira has a 11.0% chance of scoring the first try at Go Media Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 57.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 11.0% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 9.7% probability
- Leka Halasima: 5.0% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 4.1% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 3.9% probability
Dolphins
- Selwyn Cobbo: 7.4% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 7.1% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 5.9% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 5.1% probability
- Jack Bostock: 3.2% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 57.3% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 53.0% probability
- Leka Halasima: 32.8% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 27.4% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 26.5% probability
Dolphins
- Selwyn Cobbo: 44.7% probability
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 41.6% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 40.5% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 35.5% probability
- Jack Bostock: 22.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Dolphins game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Finals clash between the Warriors and Dolphins at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins
- Date: Saturday 12 September 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Go Media Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Dolphins predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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