Warriors vs Cowboys Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 9, 2025
Last updated: Apr 30, 2025, 4:20AM | Published: Apr 29, 2025, 10:30PM
The Warriors will face the Cowboys in NRL Round 9 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Cowboys game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's New Zealand vs North Queensland NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cowboys a 58% chance of winning against the Warriors in Round 9 of the 2025 NRL season.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $2.00, Cowboys $1.82
- Line: Warriors +1.5 ($1.91), Cowboys -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $2.00 and the Cowboys at $1.82.
The Warriors are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Cowboys (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cowboys (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Cowboys at $1.82 with Bet365
- Line: Cowboys -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Our Warriors vs Cowboys predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday is the Cowboys winning 23-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Cowboys match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Cowboys: Try Scorers
Searching for Warriors vs Cowboys try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Cowboys' Murray Taulagi is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs North Queensland.
Taulagi has a 7.5% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Cowboys star has a 45.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Adam Pompey: 7.2% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 5.3% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 5.0% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.0% probability
- Rocco Berry: 4.2% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 7.5% probability
- Robert Derby: 6.4% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 6.2% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 5.6% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Adam Pompey: 44.2% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 37.0% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 32.8% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 32.5% probability
- Rocco Berry: 27.8% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 45.9% probability
- Robert Derby: 40.1% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 38.8% probability
- Jaxon Purdue: 36.3% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 31.1% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Cowboys match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Essential Details
The NRL Round 9 clash between the Warriors and Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Date: Saturday 3 May 2025
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Cowboys predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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