Warriors vs Cowboys Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 16, 2026
Last updated: Jun 21, 2026, 4:00AM | Published: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05AM
The Warriors will take on the Cowboys in NRL Round 16 action at Te Kaha Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Warriors vs Cowboys game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's New Zealand vs North Queensland NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Warriors a 77% chance of winning against the Cowboys at Te Kaha Stadium.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Te Kaha Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.41, Cowboys $2.75
- Line: Warriors -7.5 ($1.91), Cowboys +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.41 and the Cowboys at $2.75.
The Warriors are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Cowboys, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cowboys (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (-7.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 59% of the time.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.41 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Stats Insider's Warriors vs Cowboys predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Cowboys at Te Kaha Stadium this Sunday is the Warriors winning 28-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Warriors vs Cowboys match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Cowboys: Try Scorers
Looking for Warriors vs Cowboys try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs North Queensland.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 11.7% chance of scoring the first try at Te Kaha Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 61.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 11.7% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 10.3% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.0% probability
- Adam Pompey: 4.2% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 3.7% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 6.6% probability
- Braidon Burns: 6.2% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 4.4% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 4.1% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 3.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 61.4% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 57.0% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 34.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 29.0% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 28.5% probability
North Queensland Cowboys
- Murray Taulagi: 45.5% probability
- Braidon Burns: 42.5% probability
- Jeremiah Nanai: 32.6% probability
- Scott Drinkwater: 29.6% probability
- Zac Laybutt: 26.8% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Warriors vs Cowboys game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Cowboys: Essential Details
The NRL Round 16 clash between the Warriors and Cowboys at Te Kaha Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys
- Date: Sunday 21 June 2026
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: Te Kaha Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Cowboys predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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