Warriors vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 12, 2026, 3:16PM | Published: May 10, 2026, 11:16PM
The Warriors will sqaure off with the Broncos in NRL Round 11 action at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Broncos game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's New Zealand vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 67% chance of defeating the Broncos in Round 11 of the 2026 NRL season.
Warriors vs Broncos: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.65, Broncos $2.25
- Line: Warriors -3.5 ($1.91), Broncos +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 52.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.65 and the Broncos at $2.25.
The Warriors are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 52.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 52.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 65% of the time.
Warriors vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.65 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 52.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Warriors vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Broncos at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday is the Warriors winning 26-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Warriors vs Broncos match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Warriors vs Broncos try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Brisbane.
Khan-Pereira has a 12.6% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 64.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 12.6% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.5% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 4.6% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.7% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.7% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 7.0% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 5.9% probability
- Phillip Coates: 5.1% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 4.8% probability
- Ezra Mam: 4.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 64.6% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 54.6% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 31.7% probability
- Leka Halasima: 28.3% probability
- Adam Pompey: 27.8% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 44.1% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 39.8% probability
- Phillip Coates: 39.1% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 35.8% probability
- Ezra Mam: 34.2% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Broncos match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Warriors and Broncos at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Sunday 17 May 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Broncos predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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