Warriors vs Broncos Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 17, 2026, 6:05AM | Published: May 10, 2026, 11:16PM
The Warriors will sqaure off with the Broncos in NRL Round 11 action at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:05pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Warriors vs Broncos game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's New Zealand vs Brisbane NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 67% chance of winning against the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium.
Warriors vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Warriors $1.68, Broncos $2.20
- Line: Warriors -2.5 ($1.91), Broncos +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 51.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Warriors at $1.68 and the Broncos at $2.20.
The Warriors are 2.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 51.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Warriors vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.68 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 51.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Our Warriors vs Broncos predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Warriors vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Warriors vs Broncos at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday is the Warriors winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Warriors vs Broncos match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Warriors vs Broncos: Try Scorers
Searching for Warriors vs Broncos try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in New Zealand vs Brisbane.
Khan-Pereira has a 11.9% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 63.2% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 11.9% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.3% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 4.6% probability
- Leka Halasima: 3.6% probability
- Adam Pompey: 3.4% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 6.2% probability
- Phillip Coates: 5.8% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 5.7% probability
- Ezra Mam: 5.2% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 63.2% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 53.2% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 30.3% probability
- Leka Halasima: 28.3% probability
- Adam Pompey: 27.2% probability
Brisbane Broncos
- Reece Walsh: 43.9% probability
- Josiah Karapani: 38.8% probability
- Phillip Coates: 38.7% probability
- Gehamat Shibasaki: 35.0% probability
- Ezra Mam: 34.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Warriors vs Broncos match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Warriors vs Broncos: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Warriors and Broncos at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos
- Date: Sunday 17 May 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Warriors vs Broncos predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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