Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez Prediction - ATP Madrid Open 2026
Last updated: Apr 23, 2026, 12:56PM | Published: Apr 21, 2026, 11:27PM
Vilius Gaubas will take on Sebastian Baez in the round of 128 at the 2026 ATP Madrid Open tournament on Thursday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Gaubas vs Baez match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Gaubas-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives Baez a 70% chance of beating Gaubas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Gaubas vs Baez: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's ATP Madrid Open match between Gaubas and Baez are listed here:
- Head to Head: Gaubas $3.20, Baez $1.36
- First Set: Gaubas $2.75, Baez $1.44
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Gaubas at $3.20 and Baez at $1.36.
TAB currently has odds for Gaubas to win the first set at $2.75 and odds for Baez to win the first set at $1.44.
Gaubas vs Baez: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Gaubas at $3.20 with TAB
- First Set: Baez at $1.80 with TAB (52% probability)
Stats Insider's Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Although our predictive analytics model indicates that Baez is more likely to win the match, betting on Gaubas to win is the best option because of the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Baez is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Baez ($1.80) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Gaubas vs Baez: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Gaubas-Baez match at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Gaubas vs Baez: ATP Madrid Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Madrid Open match between Vilius Gaubas and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to start at 11:00pm AEST.
- Match: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez
- Date: Thursday 23 April 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:00pm AEST
- Event: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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