Vikings vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2025
Last updated: Dec 7, 2025, 6:01PM | Published: Nov 30, 2025, 5:01AM
The Minnesota Vikings will face the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 14 action at U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Vikings vs Commanders game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Minnesota vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Commanders a 61% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 14 of the NFL season.
Vikings vs Commanders: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at U.S. Bank Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Vikings $1.87, Commanders $1.95
- Line: Vikings -1 ($1.91), Commanders +1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Vikings at $1.87 and the Commanders at $1.95.
The Vikings are listed as 1-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+1) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 44-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Vikings vs Commanders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $1.95 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Vikings vs Commanders best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
Vikings vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Vikings vs Commanders at U.S. Bank Stadium in Week 14 is the Commanders winning 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Minnesota vs Washington game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Vikings vs Commanders prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Vikings vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs Commanders? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Washington's Chris Rodriguez is the most likely player to score the first TD in Vikings vs Commanders.
Rodriguez has a 10.1% chance of getting in for six first at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Commanders RB has a 41.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Vikings First TD Tips
- Aaron Jones: 8.2% probability
- Justin Jefferson: 7.5% probability
- Jordan Mason: 6.2% probability
- Jordan Addison: 5.9% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 3.9% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 10.1% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 7.2% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 7.2% probability
- Zach Ertz: 6.0% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Vikings Anytime TD Tips
- Aaron Jones: 35.9% probability
- Justin Jefferson: 33.5% probability
- Jordan Mason: 28.7% probability
- Jordan Addison: 27.3% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 19.2% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 41.3% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 31.8% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 31.7% probability
- Zach Ertz: 27.1% probability
- Jayden Daniels: 20.6% probability
Vikings-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' J.J. McCarthy is projected for 198 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 216 yards.
Vikings Starting QB
- J.J. McCarthy: 198 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 216 projected passing yards
Vikings Rushing Yards
- Aaron Jones: 51 projected yards
- Jordan Mason: 42 projected yards
- J.J. McCarthy: 19 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 49 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 37 projected yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 24 projected yards
Vikings Receiving Yards
- Justin Jefferson: 68 projected yards
- Jordan Addison: 45 projected yards
- T.J. Hockenson: 30 projected yards
- Jalen Nailor: 23 projected yards
- Aaron Jones: 21 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 58 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 47 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 42 projected yards
- Noah Brown: 20 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 19 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Minnesota vs Washington match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Vikings vs Commanders: Week 14 Essential Details
The NFL Week 14 match-up between the Vikings and Commanders at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 8 December 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Minnesota vs Washington predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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