Vikings vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 14, 2025
Last updated: Dec 3, 2025, 2:21AM | Published: Nov 30, 2025, 5:01AM
The Minnesota Vikings will face the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 14 action at U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Vikings vs Commanders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Minnesota vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Vikings a 53% chance of beating the Commanders at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Vikings vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at U.S. Bank Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Vikings $1.77, Commanders $2.10
- Line: Vikings -1.5 ($1.91), Commanders +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Vikings at $1.77 and the Commanders at $2.10.
The Vikings are listed as 1.5-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 42-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Vikings vs Commanders: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Washington at $2.10 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 42 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Vikings vs Commanders best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Vikings have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Vikings vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Vikings vs Commanders at U.S. Bank Stadium in Week 14 is the Vikings winning 21-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Minnesota vs Washington game in Week 14, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Vikings vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Vikings vs Commanders? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Washington's Chris Rodriguez is the most likely player to score the first TD in Vikings vs Commanders.
Rodriguez has an 11.9% chance of scoring the first TD at U.S. Bank Stadium, while the Commanders RB has a 53.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Vikings First TD Tips
- Justin Jefferson: 8.3% probability
- Jordan Addison: 7.3% probability
- Jordan Mason: 6.9% probability
- Aaron Jones: 5.2% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 4.5% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 11.9% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 7.3% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 7.1% probability
- Zach Ertz: 5.5% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Vikings Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Jefferson: 33.4% probability
- Jordan Addison: 30.1% probability
- Jordan Mason: 28.8% probability
- Aaron Jones: 22.4% probability
- T.J. Hockenson: 19.8% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Chris Rodriguez: 53.4% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 37.7% probability
- Deebo Samuel: 36.9% probability
- Zach Ertz: 30.0% probability
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 22.7% probability
Vikings-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' J.J. McCarthy is projected for 200 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 223 yards.
Vikings Starting QB
- J.J. McCarthy: 200 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 223 projected passing yards
Vikings Rushing Yards
- Jordan Mason: 47 projected yards
- Aaron Jones: 39 projected yards
- Zavier Scott: 17 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Chris Rodriguez: 51 projected yards
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 30 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 29 projected yards
Vikings Receiving Yards
- Justin Jefferson: 66 projected yards
- Jordan Addison: 45 projected yards
- T.J. Hockenson: 33 projected yards
- Jalen Nailor: 23 projected yards
- Zavier Scott: 8 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 54 projected yards
- Deebo Samuel: 45 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 41 projected yards
- Treylon Burks: 20 projected yards
- Jeremy McNichols: 11 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Minnesota vs Washington game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Vikings vs Commanders: Week 14 Essential Details
The NFL Week 14 match-up between the Vikings and Commanders at U.S. Bank Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Monday 8 December 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Minnesota vs Washington predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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