Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - ATP Vienna Open 2026
Last updated: Oct 29, 2026, 9:53PM | Published: Oct 29, 2026, 8:53PM
Tommy Paul will face Carlos Alcaraz in the quarter-finals at the 2026 ATP Vienna Open tournament on Saturday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Paul vs Alcaraz match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Paul-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz a 78% chance of beating Paul at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.
Paul vs Alcaraz: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's ATP Vienna Open match between Paul and Alcaraz are shown here:
- Head to Head: Paul $4.33, Alcaraz $1.22
- First Set: Paul $3.50, Alcaraz $1.30
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Paul at $4.33 and Alcaraz at $1.22.
TAB currently has odds for Paul to win the first set at $3.50 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.30.
Paul vs Alcaraz: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Paul at $4.33 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.90 with TAB (53% probability)
Today's Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, taking Paul to win is the best option because of the edge we identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor over the long run.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Alcaraz ($1.90) is based on the chance of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Paul vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the ATP Vienna Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Paul-Alcaraz match at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Paul vs Alcaraz: ATP Vienna Open Essential Details
The 2026 ATP Vienna Open match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin at 1:00am AEDT.
- Match: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Saturday 31 October 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00am AEDT
- Event: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarter-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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