Tommy Paul vs Alex de Minaur Prediction - ATP Italian Open 2025
Last updated: May 13, 2025, 12:32PM | Published: May 12, 2025, 7:05PM
Tommy Paul will take on Alex de Minaur in the round of 16 at the 2025 ATP Italian Open tournament on Wednesday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Paul vs de Minaur match, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Paul-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives de Minaur a 58% chance of beating Paul at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Paul vs de Minaur: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Wednesday's ATP Italian Open match between Paul and de Minaur are shown below:
- Head to Head: Paul $2.50, de Minaur $1.53
- First Set: Paul $2.30, de Minaur $1.61
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Paul at $2.50 and de Minaur at $1.53.
TAB currently has odds for Paul to win the first set at $2.30 and odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.61.
Paul vs de Minaur: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Paul at $2.50 with TAB
- First Set: de Minaur at $1.83 with TAB (50% probability)
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across any sport.
These Tommy Paul vs Alex de Minaur predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, taking Paul to win is our preferred option because of the 4.3% edge we discovered when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of de Minaur ($1.83) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Paul vs de Minaur: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Tommy Paul vs Alex de Minaur match at the ATP Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Paul-de Minaur match at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Paul vs de Minaur: ATP Italian Open Essential Details
The 2025 ATP Italian Open match between Tommy Paul and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to begin at 2:10am AEST.
- Match: Tommy Paul vs Alex de Minaur
- Date: Wednesday 14 May 2025
- Approx. Time: 2:10am AEST
- Event: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Tommy Paul vs Alex de Minaur predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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