Thunder vs Suns Prediction and NBA Tips - 23 April 2026
Last updated: Apr 23, 2026, 1:46AM | Published: Apr 22, 2026, 3:09PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Phoenix Suns in the 2026 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Thursday, beginning at 11:30am AEST.
With star players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are looking to overcome a Suns side that includes Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Suns game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Oklahoma City vs Phoenix NBA Playoffs match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 90% chance of winning against the Suns at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Suns: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Paycom Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.05, Suns $11.00
- Line: Thunder -17.5 ($1.91), Suns +17.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 216 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.05 and the Suns at $11.00.
The Thunder are listed as 17.5-point favourites against the Suns, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Suns (+17.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 216 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (+17.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 216-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs Suns: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Phoenix at $11.00 with Bet365
- Line: Suns +17.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 216 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Thunder vs Suns best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Thunder vs Suns: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Suns at Paycom Center on Thursday is the Thunder winning 116-100.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Suns prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Suns: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Thunder and Suns in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to tip off at 11:30am AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday 23 April 2026
- Time: 11:30am AEST
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Phoenix predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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