Thunder vs Suns Prediction and NBA Tips - 11 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 11, 2025, 12:41AM | Published: Dec 10, 2025, 2:01PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Paycom Center on Thursday, starting at 11:30am AEDT.
Led by the likes of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are looking to overcome a Suns side that includes Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen and Collin Gillespie.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Suns game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Oklahoma City vs Phoenix NBA game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Thunder an 87% chance of defeating the Suns at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Suns: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Paycom Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.09, Suns $8.00
- Line: Thunder -15.5 ($1.95), Suns +15.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 221.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.09 and the Suns at $8.00.
The Thunder are listed as 15.5-point favourites against the Suns, with odds of $1.95 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Suns (+15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.87.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 221.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Suns (+15.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 221.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs Suns: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Phoenix at $8.00 with Bet365
- Line: Suns +15.5 at $1.87 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 221.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Thunder vs Suns best bets are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Thunder vs Suns: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Suns at Paycom Center this Thursday is the Thunder winning 117-103.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Suns prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Oklahoma City vs Phoenix game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Suns: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Suns at Paycom Center is scheduled to tip off at 11:30am AEDT on Thursday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday 11 December 2025
- Time: 11:30am AEDT
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Phoenix predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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