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Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 8 May 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Denver Nuggets in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Thursday, starting at 11:30am AEST.

Led by star players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are up against a Nuggets team that includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Nuggets game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Oklahoma City vs Denver NBA Playoffs match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 78% chance of defeating the Nuggets at Paycom Center.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Thursday's NBA game at Paycom Center are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Thunder $1.20, Nuggets $4.75
  • Line: Thunder -10 ($1.87), Nuggets +10 ($1.95)
  • Total (Over/Under 230 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.20 and the Nuggets at $4.75.

The Thunder are listed as 10-point favourites against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.87 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Nuggets (+10) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.95.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 230 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Nuggets (+10) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 230-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Denver at $4.75 with Bet365
  • Line: Nuggets +10 at $1.95 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 230 at $1.91 with Bet365

Today's Thunder vs Nuggets predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.

While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nuggets to win is our preferred option due to the 1.4% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Nuggets at Paycom Center on Thursday is the Thunder winning 119-110.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Denver game on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Nuggets prediction, put together by experts in the US.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Oklahoma City vs Denver game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Essential Details

The NBA game between the Thunder and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 11:30am AEST on Thursday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Oklahoma City vs Denver predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures odds for the NBA.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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