Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 6 May 2025
Last updated: May 6, 2025, 1:40AM | Published: May 5, 2025, 3:00PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will sqaure off with the Denver Nuggets in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Tuesday, beginning at 11:30am AEST.
With the likes of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are aiming to beat a Nuggets line-up that includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Nuggets game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Oklahoma City vs Denver NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 78% chance of defeating the Nuggets at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NBA game at Paycom Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.20, Nuggets $4.75
- Line: Thunder -10.5 ($1.91), Nuggets +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 229.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.20 and the Nuggets at $4.75.
The Thunder are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Nuggets (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 229.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Nuggets (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 229.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Denver at $4.75 with Bet365
- Line: Nuggets +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 229.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Thunder vs Nuggets predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nuggets to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Nuggets at Paycom Center this Tuesday is the Thunder winning 118-109.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Denver game on Tuesday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Nuggets prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Oklahoma City vs Denver game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 11:30am AEST on Tuesday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets
- Date: Tuesday 6 May 2025
- Time: 11:30am AEST
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Denver predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures odds for the NBA.
