Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 28 February 2026
Last updated: Feb 27, 2026, 6:40PM | Published: Feb 27, 2026, 4:00PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Denver Nuggets in NBA action at Paycom Center on Saturday, commencing at 1:30pm AEDT.
With the likes of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein, the Thunder are aiming to beat a Nuggets side that includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Thunder vs Nuggets game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Oklahoma City vs Denver NBA game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Thunder a 72% chance of winning against the Nuggets at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Saturday's NBA game at Paycom Center are listed below:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.32, Nuggets $3.50
- Line: Thunder -8 ($1.91), Nuggets +8 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 233.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.32 and the Nuggets at $3.50.
The Thunder are listed as 8-point favourites against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Nuggets (+8) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 233.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Nuggets (+8) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 233.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Oklahoma City at $1.32 with Bet365
- Line: Nuggets +8 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 233.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Thunder vs Nuggets betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Nuggets at Paycom Center this Saturday is the Thunder prevailing 119-113.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Denver game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Nuggets prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Oklahoma City vs Denver game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Nuggets: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Nuggets at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 1:30pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets
- Date: Saturday 28 February 2026
- Time: 1:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Denver predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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