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Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction and NBA Tips - 19 May 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder will sqaure off with the Denver Nuggets in the 2025 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Monday, commencing at 5:30am AEST.

With the likes of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are aiming to beat a Nuggets side that includes Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Christian Braun.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Nuggets game, plus the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Oklahoma City vs Denver NBA Playoffs game 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder a 74% chance of beating the Nuggets at Paycom Center.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NBA game at Paycom Center are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Thunder $1.30, Nuggets $3.65
  • Line: Thunder -8.5 ($1.91), Nuggets +8.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 214 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.30 and the Nuggets at $3.65.

The Thunder are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Nuggets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Nuggets (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 214 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Nuggets (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 214-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Denver at $3.65 with Bet365
  • Line: Nuggets +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 214 at $1.91 with Bet365

Today's Thunder vs Nuggets best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Nuggets to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Nuggets at Paycom Center this Monday is the Thunder winning 111-103.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Denver game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Nuggets prediction, put together by experts in the US.

Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Oklahoma City vs Denver game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Thunder vs Nuggets: Essential Details

The NBA game between the Thunder and Nuggets in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 5:30am AEST on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Oklahoma City vs Denver predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NBA

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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