Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction and NBA Tips - 6 December 2025
Last updated: Dec 6, 2025, 2:40AM | Published: Dec 5, 2025, 4:01PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Paycom Center on Saturday, starting at 1:30pm AEDT.
With the likes of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are up against a Mavericks line-up that includes Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg and Ryan Nembhard.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Thunder vs Mavericks game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Oklahoma City vs Dallas NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder an 87% chance of winning against the Mavericks at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Saturday's NBA game at Paycom Center are shown below:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.08, Mavericks $8.50
- Line: Thunder -16 ($1.91), Mavericks +16 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 230 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.08 and the Mavericks at $8.50.
The Thunder are listed as 16-point favourites against the Mavericks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Mavericks (+16) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 230 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Mavericks (+16) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 230-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dallas at $8.50 with Bet365
- Line: Mavericks +16 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 230 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Thunder vs Mavericks predictions are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every time.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Mavericks to win is our recommended option due to the 1.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Mavericks at Paycom Center on Saturday is the Thunder winning 121-107.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Dallas game on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Mavericks prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Oklahoma City vs Dallas match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Essential Details
The NBA game between the Thunder and Mavericks at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 1:30pm AEDT on Saturday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Saturday 6 December 2025
- Time: 1:30pm AEDT
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Dallas predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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