Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction and NBA Tips - 10 May 2024
Last updated: May 10, 2024, 1:35AM | Published: May 8, 2024, 5:05AM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Dallas Mavericks in the 2024 NBA Playoffs at Paycom Center on Friday, commencing at 11:30am AEST.
Led by the likes of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are looking to overcome a Mavericks line-up that includes Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving and P.J. Washington.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Thunder vs Mavericks game, as well as the latest betting odds and player props, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Thunder vs Mavericks
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Oklahoma City-Dallas NBA Playoffs match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder a 69% chance of defeating the Mavericks at Paycom Center.
More: Thunder vs Mavericks Match Centre
Thunder vs Mavericks: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Friday's NBA game at Paycom Center are listed here:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.56, Mavericks $2.78
- Line: Thunder -4.5 ($1.88), Mavericks +4.5 ($2.06)
- Total (Over/Under 216.5 Points): Over $1.87, Under $2.02
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Thunder at $1.56 and the Mavericks at $2.78.
The Thunder are 4.5-point favourites against the Mavericks, with odds of $1.88 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Mavericks (+4.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.06.
The Over/Under for Thunder vs Mavericks has been set at 216.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.87 and odds for the Under at $2.02.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Thunder (-4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 216.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Thunder vs Mavericks: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Oklahoma City at $1.56 with Betfair (69% probability) 🔥
- Line: Mavericks +4.5 at $2.06 with Betfair
- Total Points: Under 216.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (51% probability)
Every time you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Thunder vs Mavericks predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Thunder are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Mavericks +4.5 is based on the probability of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the top odds available.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Mavericks at Paycom Center this Friday has the Thunder winning 111-105.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Oklahoma City vs Dallas on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Player Props
Looking for Dallas vs Oklahoma City player props? Stats Insider uses the best data available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to step up for the Thunder with 33 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to finish with 34 points, 10 rebounds and 11 assists for the Mavericks.
Thunder Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33 | 7 | 8 |
| Jalen Williams | 23 | 6 | 6 |
| Chet Holmgren | 20 | 9 | 3 |
| Josh Giddey | 13 | 8 | 6 |
| Luguentz Dort | 12 | 4 | 2 |
Mavericks Projected Box Score
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 34 | 10 | 11 |
| Kyrie Irving | 27 | 6 | 5 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 6 | 2 |
| Daniel Gafford | 10 | 8 | 2 |
| Derrick Jones | 9 | 4 | 1 |
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Oklahoma City vs Dallas game at Paycom Center.
As always, check out our Best Bets for the best tips on every NBA game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Thunder vs Mavericks: Preview
The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Mavericks in the NBA Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 11:30am AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Friday 10 May 2024
- Time: 11:30am AEST
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our Oklahoma City vs Dallas predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NBA predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NBA
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NBA in Australia, with the latest NBA betting news, tips for every NBA game, and futures probabilities for the NBA.
