Thunder vs Heat Prediction and NBA Tips - 12 January 2026
Last updated: Jan 11, 2026, 7:58PM | Published: Jan 11, 2026, 2:10PM
The Oklahoma City Thunder will sqaure off with the Miami Heat in NBA action at Paycom Center on Monday, beginning at 11:00am AEDT.
Led by star players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, the Thunder are aiming to beat a Heat side that includes Norman Powell, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Thunder vs Heat game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Oklahoma City vs Miami NBA match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Thunder an 85% chance of beating the Heat at Paycom Center.
Thunder vs Heat: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NBA game at Paycom Center are shown here:
- Head to Head: Thunder $1.12, Heat $6.75
- Line: Thunder -14.5 ($1.91), Heat +14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 235.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, the bookmakers currently have the Thunder at $1.12 and the Heat at $6.75.
The Thunder are 14.5-point favourites against the Heat, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Heat (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 235.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Heat (+14.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 235.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Thunder vs Heat: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $6.75 with Bet365
- Line: Heat +14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 235.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Thunder vs Heat best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Thunder have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Heat to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Thunder vs Heat: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Thunder vs Heat at Paycom Center on Monday is the Thunder winning 122-109.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Oklahoma City vs Miami game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For more detailed information on this matchup, check out Dimers' Thunder vs Heat prediction, put together by experts in the US.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Oklahoma City vs Miami match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NBA game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Thunder vs Heat: Essential Details
The NBA match-up between the Thunder and Heat at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 11:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat
- Date: Monday 12 January 2026
- Time: 11:00am AEDT
- Venue: Paycom Center
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Oklahoma City vs Miami predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NBA tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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