And then there were eight.

As we enter the final week of what's been an engrossing Euro 2020, the cream has risen to the top as the pack has narrowed.

The Stats Insider’s data experts have run through their Euro 2020 simulations to determine who has the strongest chance of taking home the silverware.

With that said, let’s take a look at why each of the top four remaining favourites can go all the way.

RELATED: Check out all of Stats Insider's Euro 2020 projections 

England
Stats Insider Tournament Projection- 36.4%

This may be the Three Lions’ best chance to finally bring football back home.

A rock-solid defence, the proverbial easy side of the draw and potentially a semi-final and final at Wembley – are the stars aligning?

Despite not playing the most flashy or eye-catching brand of football, the Three Lions are finding a way to grind out results with their defence-first football making them extremely hard to break down having not conceded in all four of their games.

Their defence has helped mask over their glaring issues in attack having only scored four goals themselves which ranks dead-last among the the Euro's remaining outfits.

However, the win against Germany was a statement result for a side who've long yearned to finally get the monkey off the back and beat their rivals for the first time in the knockout stage since - well, you guessed it, the last time football was home in 1966.

For the first time this tournament, England will leave their homeland to face Ukraine in Rome, and should they emerge winners, they’ll be back at Wembley for the duration of the tournament, and with the backing of a partisan crowd.

RELATED: Is England Finally Ready To Bring Football Home?

Spain

Stats Insider Tournament Projection- 20.2%

Is there such thing as timing your run perfectly? 

After a COVID interrupted and slow start to proceedings, Spain have finally found their groove with two swashbuckling performances against both Slovakia and Croatia.

Having been unable to hit a barndoor with a banjo in their opening two games, Luis Enrique’s side have since scored ten in two games becoming the first side in Euros history to score five goals in consecutive games.

The fact they’ve found their cutting edge around goal is a worrisome prospect for the rest of the competition. 

Spain rank first for accurate passes completed per game (710.5), most big chances created (18) and average possession (73.7%) - dwarfing all other sides with their ability to keep the ball but also create a multitude of chances.

La Roja’s chances of progressing have been increased with the elimination of France meaning they’ll take on Switzerland in Saint Petersburg instead before a potential blockbuster semi against Italy or Belgium.

RELATED: Euro Shock: What's Propelled The Czech Republic and Denmark's Surprise Runs?

Italy

Stats Insider Tournament Projection- 18.5%

Once a contender, now firmly a favourite.

After a dominant group stage, the Azzurri survived a stern test against Austria, seeing them off in a gritty extra-time victory which extended their unbeaten run to 31 games yet find themselves on the harder side of the knockout draw.

Italy have been one of the more exciting and tantalising sides to watch throughout the tournament with their newly adopted attacking brand creating havoc for all sides they’ve come up against.

However, the question has still been raised by some football pundits about Italy’s credibility having not been a proverbial ‘big side’.

This all changes when they take on fellow favourites Belgium.

The Azzurri will still go in with a lot of confidence having put together a solid run of results throughout the tournament and their ability to keep sides out defensively and trouble sides in attack has shone.

Along with their opponents, Italy boasts the second-best defence in the competition having only conceded once, but going forward their equally as potent ranking third for big chances created (10) and shots on target per match (5.8) – yielding nine goals from four games.

RELATED: Italian Musical Chairs: Who Gets A Seat In A Loaded Azzurri Midfield?

Belgium

Stats Insider Tournament Projection- 12.8%

It comes down to one simple question and should they miss, can the Belgians do it without Kevin De Bruyne and Eden Hazard?

They’ll give themselves every chance if they can execute two things - get control in midfield and provide support for Romelu Lukaku.

Belgium’s ethos is around taking control of the game and playing it on their terms.

Roberto Martinez’ side look to control the tempo by getting a foothold in possession, ranking third for accurate passes per match (528.5) and fifth for total possession (55.7%).

The Red Devils will require the midfield tandem of Youri Tielemens and Axel Witsel to get a foothold on the contest in order to give themselves the best chance of progressing.

However, in the two games Belgium were tested in midfield, they were easily broken down by both Denmarkand Portugal who in turn caused headaches for their defence – conceding 21 and 23 shots on goal.

Even though it’s only lead to only a solitary goal conceded, the Belgians are still vulnerable without the ball and in transition, hence the need to play the game on their terms. 

Despite the losses of their two creative fulcrums, the Belgians still possess a deep arsenal of attacking options to help supplement star striker Romelu Lukaku.

The likes of Dries Mertens, Yannick Carrasco and Thorgan Hazard are all quality forwards in their own right with the latter in particular impressing throughout the tournament.

All three bring something different to the table and will help not only supply Lukaku with their creativity, but their ability to get in behind defences and trouble the goals. 

Lukaku’s ability to not only score but create havoc by drawing defenders to his presence allows the creation of channels and space for his fellow attackers to expose – something the aforementioned trio will look to do when the Belgians break.

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