Texans vs Raiders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2025

The Houston Texans will take on the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 16 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, commencing at 8:25am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Texans vs Raiders game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Houston vs Las Vegas NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Texans a 93% chance of beating the Raiders at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs Raiders: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Texans $1.08, Raiders $8.50
• Line: Texans -14.5 ($1.91), Raiders +14.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.08 and the Raiders at $8.50.

The Texans are listed as 14.5-point favourites against the Raiders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Raiders (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 39.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Texans and the Raiders have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 39.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Texans vs Raiders: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Houston at $1.08 with Bet365
• Line: Raiders +14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 39.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Texans vs Raiders predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.

Texans vs Raiders: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Raiders at NRG Stadium in Week 16 is the Texans winning 27-13.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Houston vs Las Vegas game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Texans vs Raiders prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Texans vs Raiders: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Raiders? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Nico Collins is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Texans vs Raiders.

Collins has a 12.4% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans WR has a 42.1% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans First TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 12.4% probability
• Nick Chubb: 9.5% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 7.5% probability
• Jawhar Jordan: 7.4% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 6.5% probability

Raiders First TD Tips

• Ashton Jeanty: 8.5% probability
• Brock Bowers: 6.6% probability
• Tre Tucker: 3.9% probability
• Jack Bech: 2.3% probability
• Michael Mayer: 2.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans Anytime TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 42.1% probability
• Nick Chubb: 34.1% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 28.2% probability
• Jawhar Jordan: 27.7% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 25.0% probability

Raiders Anytime TD Tips

• Ashton Jeanty: 35.2% probability
• Brock Bowers: 28.4% probability
• Tre Tucker: 18.0% probability
• Jack Bech: 10.9% probability
• Michael Mayer: 10.4% probability

Texans-Raiders Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 233 passing yards. The Raiders' Geno Smith is expected to throw for 189 yards.

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 233 projected passing yards

Raiders Starting QB

• Geno Smith: 189 projected passing yards

Texans Rushing Yards

• Nick Chubb: 53 projected yards
• Jawhar Jordan: 34 projected yards
• C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards

Raiders Rushing Yards

• Ashton Jeanty: 49 projected yards
• Geno Smith: 11 projected yards
• Raheem Mostert: 8 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

• Nico Collins: 72 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 45 projected yards
• Jayden Higgins: 41 projected yards
• Xavier Hutchinson: 19 projected yards
• Christian Kirk: 16 projected yards

Raiders Receiving Yards

• Brock Bowers: 52 projected yards
• Tre Tucker: 34 projected yards
• Jack Bech: 25 projected yards
• Tyler Lockett: 25 projected yards
• Ashton Jeanty: 24 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Houston vs Las Vegas game.

As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Texans vs Raiders: Week 16 Essential Details

The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Texans and Raiders at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Monday 22 December 2025
• Time: 8:25am AEDT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Houston vs Las Vegas predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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