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Texans vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2025

The Houston Texans will sqaure off with the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 10 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Texans vs Jaguars game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Houston vs Jacksonville NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans a 57% chance of winning against the Jaguars at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs Jaguars: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown below:

  • Head to Head: Texans $1.83, Jaguars $2.00
  • Line: Texans -1 ($1.91), Jaguars +1 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 38 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.83 and the Jaguars at $2.00.

The Texans are listed as 1-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Jaguars (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 38 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Texans (-1) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 38-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.

Texans vs Jaguars: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Houston at $1.83 with Bet365
  • Line: Texans -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 38 at $1.91 with Bet365

These Texans vs Jaguars predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Texans vs Jaguars: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Jaguars at NRG Stadium in Week 10 is the Texans winning 20-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Houston vs Jacksonville game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Texans vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Jaguars? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Houston's Nico Collins is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Jaguars.

Collins has a 10.6% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans WR has a 42.4% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans First TD Tips

  • Nico Collins: 10.6% probability
  • Woody Marks: 8.3% probability
  • Nick Chubb: 5.8% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 5.4% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 5.3% probability

Jaguars First TD Tips

  • Travis Etienne: 9.0% probability
  • Brian Thomas: 7.0% probability
  • Bhayshul Tuten: 6.8% probability
  • Parker Washington: 5.8% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 4.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans Anytime TD Tips

  • Nico Collins: 42.4% probability
  • Woody Marks: 34.9% probability
  • Nick Chubb: 25.8% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 24.5% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 24.0% probability

Jaguars Anytime TD Tips

  • Travis Etienne: 39.1% probability
  • Brian Thomas: 32.0% probability
  • Bhayshul Tuten: 31.4% probability
  • Parker Washington: 27.3% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 20.3% probability

Texans-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 228 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 230 yards.

Texans Starting QB

  • C.J. Stroud: 228 projected passing yards

Jaguars Starting QB

  • Trevor Lawrence: 230 projected passing yards

Texans Rushing Yards

  • Nick Chubb: 41 projected yards
  • Woody Marks: 41 projected yards
  • C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing Yards

  • Travis Etienne: 57 projected yards
  • Bhayshul Tuten: 22 projected yards
  • Trevor Lawrence: 16 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

  • Nico Collins: 63 projected yards
  • Christian Kirk: 38 projected yards
  • Dalton Schultz: 35 projected yards
  • Woody Marks: 17 projected yards
  • Jayden Higgins: 16 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving Yards

  • Brian Thomas: 52 projected yards
  • Parker Washington: 43 projected yards
  • Dyami Brown: 27 projected yards
  • Hunter Long: 19 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 14 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs Jacksonville game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Texans vs Jaguars: Week 10 Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 match-up between the Texans and Jaguars at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Houston vs Jacksonville predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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