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Texans vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2025

The Houston Texans will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 10 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Texans vs Jaguars game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Houston vs Jacksonville NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Texans a 59% chance of winning against the Jaguars at NRG Stadium.

Texans vs Jaguars: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Texans $1.87, Jaguars $1.95
  • Line: Texans -1 ($1.91), Jaguars +1 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 38 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.87 and the Jaguars at $1.95.

The Texans are listed as 1-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Jaguars (+1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 38 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Texans (-1) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 38-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.

Texans vs Jaguars: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Houston at $1.87 with Bet365
  • Line: Texans -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Over 38 at $1.91 with Bet365

When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips of the day across any sport.

These Texans vs Jaguars predictions are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Texans vs Jaguars: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Jaguars at NRG Stadium in Week 10 is the Texans winning 20-18.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Houston vs Jacksonville game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Texans vs Jaguars prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Texans vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Jaguars? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Jacksonville's Travis Etienne is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Jaguars.

Etienne has a 9.6% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Jaguars RB has a 36.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans First TD Tips

  • Nico Collins: 9.6% probability
  • Woody Marks: 7.4% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 5.3% probability
  • Nick Chubb: 5.2% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 4.7% probability

Jaguars First TD Tips

  • Travis Etienne: 9.6% probability
  • Parker Washington: 6.1% probability
  • Bhayshul Tuten: 5.8% probability
  • Jakobi Meyers: 5.1% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 4.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans Anytime TD Tips

  • Nico Collins: 37.2% probability
  • Woody Marks: 30.0% probability
  • Dalton Schultz: 22.5% probability
  • Nick Chubb: 22.1% probability
  • Christian Kirk: 20.5% probability

Jaguars Anytime TD Tips

  • Travis Etienne: 36.2% probability
  • Parker Washington: 24.9% probability
  • Bhayshul Tuten: 23.6% probability
  • Jakobi Meyers: 21.4% probability
  • Trevor Lawrence: 17.7% probability

Texans-Jaguars Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' Davis Mills is projected for 219 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 214 yards.

Texans Starting QB

  • Davis Mills: 219 projected passing yards

Jaguars Starting QB

  • Trevor Lawrence: 214 projected passing yards

Texans Rushing Yards

  • Woody Marks: 41 projected yards
  • Nick Chubb: 41 projected yards
  • Davis Mills: 9 projected yards

Jaguars Rushing Yards

  • Travis Etienne: 58 projected yards
  • Bhayshul Tuten: 22 projected yards
  • Trevor Lawrence: 18 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

  • Nico Collins: 69 projected yards
  • Dalton Schultz: 40 projected yards
  • Christian Kirk: 37 projected yards
  • Xavier Hutchinson: 24 projected yards
  • Woody Marks: 18 projected yards

Jaguars Receiving Yards

  • Parker Washington: 49 projected yards
  • Jakobi Meyers: 39 projected yards
  • Dyami Brown: 37 projected yards
  • Johnny Mundt: 21 projected yards
  • Travis Etienne: 18 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Houston vs Jacksonville game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Texans vs Jaguars: Week 10 Essential Details

The NFL Week 10 game between the Texans and Jaguars at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Houston vs Jacksonville predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl odds for the NFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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