Texans vs Colts Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026
Last updated: Jan 4, 2026, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 30, 2025, 1:50AM
The Houston Texans will sqaure off with the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 18 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Texans vs Colts game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Houston vs Indianapolis NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans an 82% chance of defeating the Colts at NRG Stadium.
Texans vs Colts: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Texans $1.18, Colts $5.00
- Line: Texans -9.5 ($1.91), Colts +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 37.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.18 and the Colts at $5.00.
The Texans are listed as 9.5-point favourites against the Colts, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Colts (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 37.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Colts (+9.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 37.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Texans vs Colts: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Indianapolis at $5.00 with Bet365
- Line: Colts +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 37.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Texans vs Colts predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Texans have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Colts to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Texans vs Colts: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Colts at NRG Stadium in Week 18 is the Texans winning 22-14.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Houston vs Indianapolis game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Texans vs Colts prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Texans vs Colts: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Colts? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Houston's Woody Marks is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Colts.
Marks has a 13.1% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB has a 46.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans First TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 13.1% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 7.5% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 6.6% probability
- Jawhar Jordan: 5.5% probability
- Christian Kirk: 5.0% probability
Colts First TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 12.7% probability
- Tyler Warren: 4.1% probability
- Michael Pittman: 3.8% probability
- Riley Leonard: 3.6% probability
- Alec Pierce: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Woody Marks: 46.6% probability
- Jayden Higgins: 30.4% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 27.1% probability
- Jawhar Jordan: 23.1% probability
- Christian Kirk: 21.4% probability
Colts Anytime TD Tips
- Jonathan Taylor: 52.5% probability
- Tyler Warren: 21.6% probability
- Michael Pittman: 20.1% probability
- Riley Leonard: 19.1% probability
- Alec Pierce: 18.8% probability
Texans-Colts Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 221 passing yards. The Colts' Riley Leonard is expected to throw for just 161 yards.
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 221 projected passing yards
Colts Starting QB
- Riley Leonard: 161 projected passing yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Woody Marks: 57 projected yards
- Jawhar Jordan: 32 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 11 projected yards
Colts Rushing Yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 70 projected yards
- Riley Leonard: 21 projected yards
- Ameer Abdullah: 7 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Jayden Higgins: 53 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 46 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 39 projected yards
- Xavier Hutchinson: 28 projected yards
- Jaylin Noel: 26 projected yards
Colts Receiving Yards
- Michael Pittman: 37 projected yards
- Tyler Warren: 35 projected yards
- Alec Pierce: 33 projected yards
- Josh Downs: 28 projected yards
- Jonathan Taylor: 9 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Houston vs Indianapolis match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Texans vs Colts: Week 18 Essential Details
The NFL Week 18 game between the Texans and Colts at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts
- Date: Monday 5 January 2026
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Houston vs Indianapolis predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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