Texans vs Colts Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026

The Houston Texans will take on the Indianapolis Colts in NFL Week 18 action at NRG Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Texans vs Colts game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Houston vs Indianapolis NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Texans an 85% chance of winning against the Colts in Week 18 of the NFL season.

Texans vs Colts: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Texans $1.18, Colts $5.00
• Line: Texans -10 ($1.91), Colts +10 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 40 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $1.18 and the Colts at $5.00.

The Texans are listed as 10-point favourites against the Colts, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Colts (+10) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 40 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Colts (+10) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 40-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.

Texans vs Colts: Best Bets

• Head to Head: Houston at $1.18 with Bet365
• Line: Colts +10 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 40 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Texans vs Colts betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Texans vs Colts: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Colts at NRG Stadium in Week 18 is the Texans winning 24-14.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Houston vs Indianapolis game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Texans vs Colts: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Texans vs Colts? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Indianapolis' Jonathan Taylor is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Colts.

Taylor has a 13.9% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Colts RB has a 68.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans First TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 11.7% probability
• Woody Marks: 11.2% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 6.9% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 5.9% probability
• Jawhar Jordan: 4.8% probability

Colts First TD Tips

• Jonathan Taylor: 13.9% probability
• Michael Pittman: 4.5% probability
• Josh Downs: 4.5% probability
• Tyler Warren: 4.1% probability
• Alec Pierce: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Texans Anytime TD Tips

• Nico Collins: 38.9% probability
• Woody Marks: 37.7% probability
• Jayden Higgins: 25.3% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 22.0% probability
• Jawhar Jordan: 18.3% probability

Colts Anytime TD Tips

• Jonathan Taylor: 68.9% probability
• Michael Pittman: 31.6% probability
• Josh Downs: 31.4% probability
• Tyler Warren: 29.2% probability
• Alec Pierce: 27.4% probability

Texans-Colts Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 235 passing yards. The Colts' Philip Rivers is expected to throw for 210 yards.

Texans Starting QB

• C.J. Stroud: 235 projected passing yards

Colts Starting QB

• Philip Rivers: 210 projected passing yards

Texans Rushing Yards

• Woody Marks: 47 projected yards
• Nick Chubb: 15 projected yards
• Jawhar Jordan: 15 projected yards

Colts Rushing Yards

• Jonathan Taylor: 79 projected yards
• Ameer Abdullah: 11 projected yards
• Philip Rivers: 2 projected yards

Texans Receiving Yards

• Nico Collins: 70 projected yards
• Jayden Higgins: 37 projected yards
• Dalton Schultz: 36 projected yards
• Christian Kirk: 21 projected yards
• Xavier Hutchinson: 15 projected yards

Colts Receiving Yards

• Michael Pittman: 43 projected yards
• Alec Pierce: 41 projected yards
• Tyler Warren: 36 projected yards
• Josh Downs: 36 projected yards
• Jonathan Taylor: 16 projected yards

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Houston vs Indianapolis match-up.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Texans vs Colts: Week 18 Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 match-up between the Texans and Colts at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts
• Date: Monday 5 January 2026
• Time: 5:00am AEDT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Houston vs Indianapolis predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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