Texans vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2025
Last updated: Jan 11, 2025, 9:31PM | Published: Jan 6, 2025, 8:05AM
The Houston Texans will take on the Los Angeles Chargers in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs at NRG Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 8:30am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Texans vs Chargers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Houston vs LA Chargers NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Chargers a 62% chance of winning against the Texans at NRG Stadium.
Texans vs Chargers: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Sunday's NFL game at NRG Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Texans $2.35, Chargers $1.62
- Line: Texans +2.5 ($1.91), Chargers -2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 42 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Texans at $2.35 and the Chargers at $1.62.
The Texans are 2.5-point underdogs against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chargers (-2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 42 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Chargers (-2.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 42-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Texans vs Chargers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: LA Chargers at $1.62 with Bet365
- Line: Chargers -2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 42 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Texans vs Chargers betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Texans vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Texans vs Chargers at NRG Stadium on Sunday is the Chargers winning 22-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Houston vs LA Chargers game on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Texans vs Chargers prediction.
Texans vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs Chargers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Houston's Joe Mixon is the most likely player to score the first TD in Texans vs Chargers.
Mixon has a 12.5% chance of getting in for six first at NRG Stadium, while the Texans RB has a 48.6% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans First TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 12.5% probability
- Nico Collins: 11.0% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 5.0% probability
- John Metchie: 4.3% probability
- C.J. Stroud: 3.8% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- J.K. Dobbins: 11.3% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 8.4% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 8.1% probability
- Justin Herbert: 5.0% probability
- Will Dissly: 4.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Texans Anytime TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 48.6% probability
- Nico Collins: 43.6% probability
- Dalton Schultz: 21.7% probability
- John Metchie: 19.2% probability
- C.J. Stroud: 16.4% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- J.K. Dobbins: 41.7% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 33.3% probability
- Quentin Johnston: 31.3% probability
- Justin Herbert: 20.8% probability
- Will Dissly: 19.4% probability
Texans-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 236 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 219 yards.
Texans Starting QB
- C.J. Stroud: 236 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 219 projected passing yards
Texans Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 69 projected yards
- C.J. Stroud: 13 projected yards
- Dameon Pierce: 7 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- J.K. Dobbins: 72 projected yards
- Gus Edwards: 18 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 15 projected yards
Texans Receiving Yards
- Nico Collins: 86 projected yards
- Dalton Schultz: 36 projected yards
- John Metchie: 33 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 25 projected yards
- Diontae Johnson: 21 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 64 projected yards
- Quentin Johnston: 53 projected yards
- Will Dissly: 33 projected yards
- DJ Chark: 20 projected yards
- Stone Smartt: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs LA Chargers game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Texans vs Chargers: Essential Details
The game between the Texans and Chargers at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30am AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Sunday 12 January 2025
- Time: 8:30am AEDT
- Venue: NRG Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Houston vs LA Chargers predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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