Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction - Wimbledon 2025
Last updated: Jul 12, 2025, 8:00AM | Published: Jul 10, 2025, 12:02AM
Taylor Fritz will face Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals of the Wimbledon Men's Singles 2025 on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fritz vs Alcaraz match, plus the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Fritz-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives Alcaraz a 78% chance of winning against Fritz in the Wimbledon Men's Singles 2025.
Fritz vs Alcaraz: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Friday's Wimbledon 2025 match between Fritz and Alcaraz are shown below:
- Head to Head: Fritz $5.00, Alcaraz $1.16
- First Set: Fritz $3.20, Alcaraz $1.36
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Fritz at $5.00 and Alcaraz at $1.16.
TAB currently has odds for Fritz to win the first set at $3.20 and odds for Alcaraz to win the first set at $1.36.
Fritz vs Alcaraz: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fritz at $5.00 with TAB
- First Set: Alcaraz at $1.90 with TAB (0.6% edge)
Our Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Even though our predictive analytics model indicates that Alcaraz is more likely to win the match, betting on Fritz to win is our preferred option because of the 3.4% edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently being offered.
Using the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
And while Alcaraz is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our suggested bet of Alcaraz ($1.90) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Fritz vs Alcaraz: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz match at the Wimbledon 2025 tournament, including data-driven predictions and live in-play probabilitiestips.
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Fritz-Alcaraz match in the Wimbledon Men's Singles 2025.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fritz vs Alcaraz: Wimbledon 2025 Essential Details
The Wimbledon 2025 match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to begin at 10:30pm AEST.
- Match: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Date: Friday 11 July 2025
- Approx. Time: 10:30pm AEST
- Event: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Semi-finals
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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