Sydney vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024

Sydney will face North Melbourne in AFL Round 18 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, beginning at 1:45pm AEST.

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Sydney vs North Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.

Who Will Win: Sydney vs North Melbourne

Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Sydney-North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 96% chance of winning against the Kangaroos at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

Sydney vs North Melbourne: Odds

The latest betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Sydney $1.08, North Melbourne $12.50
  • Line: Sydney -47.5 ($1.88), North Melbourne +47.5 ($2.02)
  • Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $1.96

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney at $1.08 and North Melbourne at $12.50.

The Swans are 47.5-point favourites against the Kangaroos, with odds of $1.88 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Kangaroos (+47.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.02.

The over/under for total points scored sits at 175.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.89 and odds for the under at $1.96.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Swans (-47.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying Under.

More: Predictions for Every AFL Match

Sydney vs North Melbourne: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Sydney at $1.08 with Betfair (96% probability)
  • Line: Sydney -47.5 at $1.88 with Betfair (52% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (52% probability)

These Sydney vs North Melbourne predictions are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.

Sydney vs North Melbourne: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs North Melbourne at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Saturday has Sydney winning 111-62.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Sydney vs North Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Sydney vs North Melbourne: Goal Kickers

Looking for Sydney vs North Melbourne goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Sydney's Tom Papley is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs North Melbourne.

Papley has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Swans star has an 87.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.

Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Kicker Tips


  • Tom Papley: 7.2% probability
  • Joel Amartey: 6.6% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 5.9% probability
  • Will Hayward: 5.7% probability
  • Chad Warner: 5.2% probability

North Melbourne

  • Nick Larkey: 6.7% probability
  • Cameron Zurhaar: 5.4% probability
  • Eddie Ford: 3.3% probability
  • Paul Curtis: 3.0% probability
  • Jy Simpkin: 2.0% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Tips


  • Tom Papley: 87.5% probability
  • Joel Amartey: 85.9% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 84.5% probability
  • Will Hayward: 80.3% probability
  • Chad Warner: 78.2% probability

North Melbourne

  • Nick Larkey: 87.7% probability
  • Cameron Zurhaar: 78.4% probability
  • Eddie Ford: 62.2% probability
  • Paul Curtis: 60.3% probability
  • Jy Simpkin: 43.5% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Sydney vs North Melbourne match at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

More: AFL Player Ratings 2024

Sydney vs North Melbourne: Preview

The AFL Round 18 clash between the Swans and Kangaroos at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.

  • Teams: Sydney vs North Melbourne
  • Date: Saturday 13 July 2024
  • Time: 1:45pm AEST
  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Our Sydney vs North Melbourne predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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