Sydney vs North Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 18, 2024
Last updated: Jul 13, 2024, 3:33AM | Published: Jul 8, 2024, 1:04AM
Sydney will take on North Melbourne in AFL Round 18 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 1:45pm AEST.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Sydney vs North Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Sydney vs North Melbourne
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Sydney-North Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 96% chance of defeating the Kangaroos at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
Sydney vs North Melbourne: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are listed below:
- Head to Head: Sydney $1.08, North Melbourne $12.50
- Line: Sydney -48.5 ($1.86), North Melbourne +48.5 ($2.10)
- Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.89, Under $2.08
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change. Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney at $1.08 and North Melbourne at $12.50.
The Swans are listed as 48.5-point favourites against the Kangaroos, with odds of $1.86 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Kangaroos (+48.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.10.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 177.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $1.89 and odds for the under at $2.08.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Swans (-48.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 177.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Sydney vs North Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Sydney at $1.08 with Betfair (96% probability)
- Line: N Melbourne +48.5 at $2.10 with Betfair (1.3% edge)
- Total Points: Under 177.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Sydney vs North Melbourne betting tips are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Although the Swans are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Kangaroos +48.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as suggested by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Sydney vs North Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs North Melbourne at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday has Sydney winning 111-62.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Sydney vs North Melbourne on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live updates.
Sydney vs North Melbourne: Goal Scorers
Searching for Sydney vs North Melbourne goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Sydney's Tom Papley is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs North Melbourne.
Papley has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Swans star has an 87.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 7.2% probability
- Joel Amartey: 6.6% probability
- Logan McDonald: 5.9% probability
- Will Hayward: 5.7% probability
- Chad Warner: 5.2% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 6.7% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 5.4% probability
- Eddie Ford: 3.3% probability
- Paul Curtis: 3.0% probability
- Jy Simpkin: 2.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 87.5% probability
- Joel Amartey: 85.9% probability
- Logan McDonald: 84.5% probability
- Will Hayward: 80.3% probability
- Chad Warner: 78.2% probability
North Melbourne
- Nick Larkey: 87.7% probability
- Cameron Zurhaar: 78.4% probability
- Eddie Ford: 62.2% probability
- Paul Curtis: 60.3% probability
- Jy Simpkin: 43.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Sydney vs North Melbourne match at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Sydney vs North Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 18 clash between the Swans and Kangaroos at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 1:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Sydney vs North Melbourne
- Date: Saturday 13 July 2024
- Time: 1:45pm AEST
- Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Our Sydney vs North Melbourne predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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