Sydney vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 16, 2025, 9:36AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
Sydney will take on Carlton in AFL Round 10 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Sydney vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Sydney vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 63% chance of beating the Blues in Round 10 of the 2025 AFL season.
Sydney vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Sydney $1.63, Carlton $2.35
- Line: Sydney -7.5 ($1.91), Carlton +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Sydney at $1.63 and Carlton at $2.35.
The Swans are 7.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Swans (-7.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Sydney vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Sydney at $1.63 with Bet365
- Line: Sydney -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Sydney vs Carlton predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Sydney vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Carlton at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Friday is Sydney prevailing 85-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Sydney vs Carlton match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Sydney vs Carlton: Goal Kickers
Searching for Sydney vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 4.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 72.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 3.6% probability
- Joel Amartey: 3.4% probability
- Logan McDonald: 3.4% probability
- Chad Warner: 3.0% probability
- Hayden McLean: 2.7% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 4.4% probability
- Harry McKay: 3.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 2.7% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 2.2% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 2.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 60.6% probability
- Joel Amartey: 60.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 58.5% probability
- Chad Warner: 53.0% probability
- Hayden McLean: 50.7% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 72.2% probability
- Harry McKay: 63.1% probability
- Corey Durdin: 50.9% probability
- Zac Williams: 42.6% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 41.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Sydney vs Carlton match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Sydney vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Swans and Blues at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Sydney vs Carlton predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
