Sydney vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 16, 2025, 5:50AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
Sydney will face Carlton in AFL Round 10 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Sydney vs Carlton game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Sydney vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Swans a 63% chance of beating the Blues at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
Sydney vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are shown here:
- Head to Head: Sydney $1.60, Carlton $2.40
- Line: Sydney -8.5 ($1.91), Carlton +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Sydney at $1.60 and Carlton at $2.40.
The Swans are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Swans (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Sydney vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Sydney at $1.60 with Bet365
- Line: Sydney -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Sydney vs Carlton predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Sydney vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Carlton at the Sydney Cricket Ground this Friday is Sydney prevailing 85-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Sydney vs Carlton match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Sydney vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Searching for Sydney vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Carlton.
Curnow has a 4.4% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has a 72.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 3.6% probability
- Joel Amartey: 3.4% probability
- Logan McDonald: 3.4% probability
- Chad Warner: 3.0% probability
- Hayden McLean: 2.7% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 4.4% probability
- Harry McKay: 3.6% probability
- Corey Durdin: 2.7% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 2.2% probability
- Brodie Kemp: 2.2% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Sydney
- Tom Papley: 60.6% probability
- Joel Amartey: 60.0% probability
- Logan McDonald: 58.5% probability
- Chad Warner: 53.0% probability
- Hayden McLean: 50.7% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 72.2% probability
- Harry McKay: 63.1% probability
- Corey Durdin: 50.9% probability
- Zac Williams: 42.6% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 41.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Sydney vs Carlton match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Sydney vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Swans and Blues at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Sydney vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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