Sydney vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2024

Sydney will face Carlton in AFL Round 10 action at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Sydney vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Sydney vs Carlton

Using state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Sydney-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Swans a 71% chance of winning against the Blues at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

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Sydney vs Carlton: Odds

The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Sydney Cricket Ground are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Sydney $1.42, Carlton $3.35
  • Line: Sydney -15.5 ($1.96), Carlton +15.5 ($2.04)
  • Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $2.10, Under $1.87

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Sydney at $1.42 and Carlton at $3.35.

The Swans are listed as 15.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.96 currently available at Betfair.

For the underdog Blues (+15.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.04.

The Over/Under for Sydney vs Carlton is set at 170.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.10 and odds for the Under at $1.87.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+15.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 170.5 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.

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Sydney vs Carlton: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Sydney at $1.42 with Betfair (71% probability)
  • Line: Carlton +15.5 at $2.04 with Betfair (51% probability)
  • Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (55% probability)

Today's Sydney vs Carlton betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.

Sydney vs Carlton: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Sydney vs Carlton at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday has Sydney winning 91-76.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Sydney vs Carlton on Friday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.

Sydney vs Carlton: Goal Scorers

Searching for Sydney vs Carlton goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Carlton's Charlie Curnow is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Sydney vs Carlton.

Curnow has a 7.2% chance of kicking the first goal at the Sydney Cricket Ground, while the Blues star has an 89.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.

Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Tips


  • Tom Papley: 5.8% probability
  • Will Hayward: 5.3% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 5.3% probability
  • Isaac Heeney: 4.4% probability
  • Joel Amartey: 4.2% probability


  • Charlie Curnow: 7.2% probability
  • Harry McKay: 7.2% probability
  • Matthew Owies: 4.6% probability
  • Orazio Fantasia: 4.1% probability
  • Corey Durdin: 2.9% probability

Anytime Goal Kicker Tips


  • Tom Papley: 83.1% probability
  • Will Hayward: 80.0% probability
  • Logan McDonald: 79.5% probability
  • Isaac Heeney: 71.3% probability
  • Joel Amartey: 68.7% probability


  • Charlie Curnow: 89.8% probability
  • Harry McKay: 88.7% probability
  • Matthew Owies: 72.0% probability
  • Orazio Fantasia: 66.2% probability
  • Corey Durdin: 57.2% probability

Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Sydney vs Carlton match at the Sydney Cricket Ground.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

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Sydney vs Carlton: Preview

The AFL Round 10 clash between the Swans and Blues at the Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.

  • Teams: Sydney vs Carlton
  • Date: Friday 17 May 2024
  • Time: 7:40pm AEST
  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our Sydney vs Carlton predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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